Re: Mizuno paper about explosion uploaded

[OrionWorks]

> From: Jones Beene

...

> As to the damage, this is consistent with a few
> micrograms of sublimated tungsten at 17,000 degrees
> transfering heat to the water so that there was a
> flash steam explosion. The very small mass of
> accelerating material at high kinetic energy could not
> have damaged a much larger mass of tubing or other
> parts (million to one mass difference).
>
> Jones

This brings to mind a conversion I think we had over a year ago where you did you best to explain the power of statistics and its relationship with the density ratio of loaded hydrogen in a metal lattice. It was easy for me to grasp the concept that while CF heat is typically nowhere near as high as what goes on in a hot fusion reactor the density ratio of H loaded in the metal lattice is on the order of several magnitudes more dense than hot plasma. That was easy to grasp! Therefore, statistically speaking, the probability of there being a combination may be just as possible, if not more.

Did I get this right, Jones?

Asimov in one of his puckish essays on the laws of probability and statistics discussed the chances of all the molecules in a room suddenly finding themselves all bunched up in a corner. It's not likely, but statistically speaking, it could happen in a zillion gazillion years.

It makes me wonder if something similar might have happened in Mizuno's experiment where statistically speaking a sufficient amount of bunching of hydrogen may have occurred, in some little corner (or corners) of the metal lattice. Perhaps in another decade or two historians will look back at these historic events and shudder, amazed that more people weren't blown to smithereens as they tried to figure out what the hell was happening with there little glass jars. They did what??? Where they crazy???

Regards,
Steven Vincent Johnson
www.OrionWorks.com