I cannot judge whether the BLP results are real or not. For sake of
argument, let's assume they are. In that case, I cannot understand why they
keep changing their methods and starting over from scratch. As Jones Beene
said, Thermacore's results decades ago were more impressive.

I think the people at BLP have said the previous methods could not be
developed into a practical source of energy, and that is why they keep
coming up with new methods. That strikes me as a bad business strategy. The
device does not need to be practical at this stage. It just needs to be
real, and convincing. If you can demonstrate an impractical device you can
use it raise funding, get patents and make progress. First generation
devices are often impractical. The first Diesel engines, airplanes,
transistors and computers were impractical, but they triggered a lot of
excitement, investment and research that soon led to practical devices.

Brillouin Energy is also trying to develop a practical device. Their
statements say they "have to" reach a certain COP before they can sell
devices. This is a similar misguided business strategy, in my opinion. They
don't have to reach any particular performance level, and there no need to
make the thing practical at this stage. They can succeed faster and make
more money if they demonstrate impractical devices today, rather than wait
months or years for a practical device. Waiting until it becomes practical
is likely to mean they will wait forever. Or wait until they run out of
money, gumption, and the patience of the investors. They should take what
they have, make the best of it, and do something *now*. An impractical
device today would be far better than a practical device in 5 years. The
impractical device would bring in billions of dollars of R&D money, which
in 5 years would result in products far better than they can develop at the
present pace, with present funding levels.

(I cannot judge whether Brullouin's claims are real either. I am assuming
they are.)

- Jed

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