Oh, but there is one thing that might be more useful at estimating the danger this disease represents than any numbers out of China...
And that is the fate of those infected outside of china, there is much less chance for hiding those results. But it could take some time before we have a clue what the real risk is from that as that "experiment" is just beginning so to speak. On Sat, Feb 15, 2020 at 10:31 AM Jonathan Berry <[email protected]> wrote: > > To have any idea about how the number of infected and dead compare to > the lethality of this Virus we need to know two things. > The mean time it takes someone to die from the virus after it is > recognized they have it... > And when most of those healthcare workers were first recognized to be > infected. > > We don't have anything like either of those numbers, but as it stands > if you want to use recovered .vs dead it is about 18% die and 82% > recover, not that that is perfectly accurate either. > > However maybe in the end we can presume that the true rate lies > neither ate 1 or 2% not at 18% but somewhere in the middle. > And just what that rate is will hugely depend on the health of those infected. > > On Sat, Feb 15, 2020 at 9:57 AM Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote: > > > > Terry Blanton <[email protected]> wrote: > > > >> > >> On Fri, Feb 14, 2020 at 3:37 PM Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> > >> wrote: ...Most appear to be okay now. <end> > >> > >> > >> Citation? > > > > > > Dr. Peng and other researchers wrote that 40 health care professionals at > > his hospital had been infected in January, a third of the cases included in > > a study published last week in the Journal of the American Medical > > Association. . . . > > > > Another doctor had started to show symptoms early last month, before > > medical professionals knew to take extra precautions, according to the > > state-run Health Times newspaper. He died this past Monday. > > > > > > . . . and some other articles. > >
