Am 12.03.20 um 00:52 schrieb Jed Rothwell:
The numbers from Italy today are disastrous. In response, the Prime Minister announced more stringent rules. NYT:
The death rate in Italy is above 20% (3858 vs 827 deaths) now if we assume an average of 6 days for detection to death. But many people die much faster others stay for weeks. So its quite difficult to get an exact figure.
The next problem is that hospitals only take critical cases as we do too in Switzerland. Thus many people are not even tested.
The only allowed conclusion is: If you are old, did smoke, do have high blood pressure medication and diabetes, then you are at extreme high risk. (much higher than 20% may be 50% or more.)
Other risks are: Immune defects, complex medication, respiratory problems, living under a smog condition (L.A.).
If you are younger, without risks then please do care not to physically contact anymore people with above said risks. (or only with taking utmost safety measurements)
The real infection v.s. death rate is much, much lower in the range of influenza or even below.
J.W. -- Jürg Wyttenbach Bifangstr.22 8910 Affoltern a.A. 044 760 14 18 079 246 36 06
