Some typos corrected below.

The importance of infra-red to the greenhouse effect can be seen in the following table.

Percent solar constant at aircraft altitude:

Lambda (nm)      Cum %      %      Range

  0 - 10         *** less than 0.00044 percent***
 10 - 400       8.725     8.725   UV
400 - 700      46.879    38.154   Visible
700 - 100000   99.999    53.120   IR
100000 - 1000000 *** less than .000998 percent ***

Derived from page 14-10 of the 74th Edition of The CRC Handbook.


Most of the incoming power is in already the form of infra-red. Most of the remaining incoming power is in the visible range. The downshifting of the visible range to infra-red is key to the greenhouse effect.

When molecules or atoms absorb radiation, they sometimes simply re- emit the radiation at the same frequency, though not necessarily in the same direction. However, excited atoms and molecules can also re- emit the radiation in steps. This results in a down-shifting of the absorbed and then re-emitted energy. In many such cases net momentum is absorbed by the molecule in the interaction, and the light re- emitted is further down-shifted. The resulting molecular momentum change means a velocity change which on balance results in a temperature increment.

As the Earth heats up a highly non-linear relationship between infra- red radiation and atmospheric absorption comes into play. Hot material emits radiation in proportion to the 4th power of its temperature. As ice and snow is reduced, less visible light is reflected to space as the ice disappears. More of the Earth's cooling is dependent upon infra-red making it back to space. H2O and CO2 thus play a highly non-linear role in retarding the process of compensating for the loss of albedo due to polar melting. As polar ice disappears, albedo is lost, more water is available to the polar atmosphere, as is more methane. This results in a feedback effect which is even more powerful than a 4th power law. To some degree, compensation occurs due to cloud formation, which reflects visible light. However, high altitude water vapor concectration, that water vapor which is above any clouds that form, has a highly non-linear relationship with temperature. As temperature above the clouds increases above the freezing threshold, the ability of water vapor to exist there, without forming ice, increases dramatically.

All this non-linearity ultimately means many people are in for some severe surprises. Some parts of the atmosphere are already in a runaway regime. The rapidity with which the other parts can enter that regime will no doubt be a surprise even to many scientists.

Horace Heffner

Reply via email to