Horace -

If you don't think it's relevant, then you don't think you know exactly
what's driving it (and you'd be right), and therefore you couldn't possibly
know where it would go if you tried driving it yourself. But Horace, if you
*know* that you *can* predict and even steer an immense chaotic system like
planetary climate - please please pretty PLEEEASE email me your stock picks
NOW!!!

Again, here in a nutshell are our areas of common ground: climate change
risk management (but not direct mitigation/manipulation attempts), and
energy alternatives to oil. That's it. If you're good with those two and are
willing to broom off the rest of the chaff - the socialist takeovers and
loss of liberties, carbon caps & trades, crazy high taxes and similar
shenanigans, I think we could rather quickly become successful in dealing
with climate change. Change in the climate would still be inevitable, as
usual. Probably hotter, maybe colder. But then we'd be much better
positioned to adapt flexibly and intelligently without clobbering our
prosperity. 

Remember Rapa Nui. When you're down to your last few stands of trees and the
food is running out, collective rational action to deploy the resources you
have left towards practical solutions for your survival would be the right
call to make. Using up those precious resources to carve giant tikis and
drag them across the island to impress imaginary gods - not so much.
Although, they do look pretty cool on post cards. 

We can prepare for the weather, but we cannot control it. That much has got
to be obvious to any rational citizen of this planet. 

- Rick



-----Original Message-----
From: Horace Heffner [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Sent: Monday, September 08, 2008 5:50 PM
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: [Vo]:Re: Sunspotless


On Sep 8, 2008, at 8:51 AM, Michel Jullian wrote:

> (typo: 2009 in last heading)

Thanks!


>
> Good points Horace, but note Rick doesn't deny global warming, he 
> "only" disputes the anthropogenic explanation for some reason (maybe 
> he owns oil fields or something?)
>
> Michel

It strikes me as not directly relevant as to whether we caused this  
disaster or not.  The fact remains that we might be able to fix it.   
If I had my hand in a pot of scalding water I'd want to either turn off the
heat or pull my hand out.

We know what our contribution of greenhouse gasses is.  We have a pretty
good quantitative handle on what that means in terms of greenhouse effect
and overall atmospheric effect, though the effect has been grossly
underestimated by calibration that occurred without understanding global
dimming.

If we have our hand in a pot that is 0 C and we add 30 deg.C no big deal.
If we start out with the pot at 30 deg.C and add 30 deg. C we might be very
uncomfortable.  Now if we can prevent the extra 30 deg.  
C I'd think we might find we want to do that regardless the cause of the
extra initial heat.


Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/






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