See:

http://www.cra.org/govaffairs/images/Presidents_letter_04.05.pdf

Note Fig. 1. This illustrates the point I have often made, that most high-tech discoveries have been paid for and/or developed by Uncle Sam, not by industry. Industry does a good job at incremental innovation. Big breakthroughs come mainly from universities and the U.S. and UK governments.

Quote from first page:

"Alas, the world has changed since the heady days of the 1970s that laid the foundation of 20th century IT. While the industry has expanded dramatically, and many IT companies spend billions on research and development, little is for long-term research. For example, Microsoft spends $7.5 billion on R&D, but less than 5% on long-term research via Microsoft Research. Yet Microsoft is to be congratulated, for many of the newer companies that expanded IT—for example, Cisco, Dell, and Oracle—do not make any significant investment on R&D that looks forward more than one product cycle; in fact, they have no research labs."

In my opinion, Bill Gates and Larry Ellison (Oracle) are great programmers. I mean that sincerely. They have made tremendous contributions. But their work has been purely incremental. Other people such as Grace Hopper, Niklaus Wirth, Leonard Kleinrock, Bob Kahn, Vint Cerf made fundamental innovations; Gates and Ellison built upon them. Note that everyone in the first category was employed by the U.S. and Swiss governments, and the state of California (UCLA, Stanford). As far as I know they did not make one dime in royalties, so money was not the motivating factor. Don't let anyone tell you that without monetary reward genius will not flower.

Earlier in the century, people at Bell Labs, Texas Instruments and DEC made Nobel class contributions, but it hasn't happened lately. No one knowledgeable about computer science would confuse Gates with someone like Robert Kahn. Gates is not in line to win the Turing Award!

- Jed

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