On Oct 12, 2009, at 8:32 AM, Chris Zell wrote:

see:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/ambroseevans_pritchard/ 6299291/Energy-crisis-is-postponed-as-new-gas-rescues-the-world.html

Enough nat gas reserves for 60 years! Convert the cars and defund terrorism and crash the trade deficit. Goodbye to the peak oil threat.

Yeah, I'd prefer any free energy that was actually practical but the above gives me hope that we have enough time to develop such. We don't have to freeze in the dark with $200 a barrel oil while academics argue and obfusticate.


The article talks about 1.2 trillion barrels equivalent, or 1.2x10^9 bbl. There is 6.1178632 × 10^9 J/bbl, so that is 7.34x10^18 J total in reserve. The world energy demand in 2050 is expected to require about 35 TW, which is 3.5x10^10 J/s. That the reserves at that rate can last (7.34x10^18 )/(3.5x10^10 J/s. = 2.1x10^8 s = 6.6 years.

A 10% efficient solar system can produce the year 2050 world energy needs of 35 terawatts in an area 370 miles on a side. This is an incredibly small footprint for world energy production and one which can be divided up across many countries, and locations. Solar energy can take many forms, including solar thermal systems, photovoltaic systems, and, for vehicle fuels, algae production. Algae production takes a larger footprint, but is only needed for producing fuel that can be used in aircraft and vehicles. See oilgae.com. Oil from algae has already been tested in diesel engines and in jet aircraft. Daniel Nocera's invention of an extremely efficient catalyst for production of hydrogen means that daily storage and production of hydrogen can be used to smooth solar energy availability for utility energy production. It also means new kinds of plants for fertilizer production, fuel, and natural gas synthesis can come online using only energy of the sun, air, and sea water as raw materials. Hydrogen is a major feed stock for the chemical industry.

Solar energy production at a public utility level is not only feasible, but available now if the government red tape preventing projects of the size proposed can be eliminated. Various companies are struggling to acquire desert land and rights of way to build the US power infrastructure for tomorrow. In many cases the only thing missing is sufficient political will to get the regulations out of the way so the solutions to tomorrows energy needs can be built.

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/




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