See:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/nuclear-crisis-deepens- as-third-reactor-loses-cooling-capacity/2011/03/14/ABk6rQV_story.html

http://tinyurl.com/67tp62y

"A commercial satellite photo of the complex showed piles of debris on top of units 1 and 3, which raised new fears about the condition of the pools where spent fuel is stored, especially at unit 1, where a design by General Electric placed the pool on top of the reactor but below the outer structure that was destroyed. The ability of workers to assess the damage was hindered by fears that another explosion might occur."

"In March 2010, 1,760 tons of spent fuel was stored in the six pools — 84 percent of capacity, according to Tokyo Electric."

That is over 250,000 kg of uranium (plus plutonium in the case of MOX) per pool on average. What is that going to do if it melts into a blob and starts boring a hole into the earth? That's a rhetorical question. Google (China syndrome).

That 250,000 kg is many times the fissionable material in an atom bomb. A big problem even if it is mostly U238. MOX fuel, used in unit 3, is a *huge* problem. Plutonium is one of the most radiologically poisonous materials on earth. Pu242 has a half-life of 376,000 years. The atomic bomb Little Boy, dropped on Hiroshima, had 64 kg of uranium. Fat Man, dropped on Nagasaki, contained 6.2 kg of plutonium.

Material that melts down inside the reactor steel containment has a chance of cooling down, due to the presence of moderator material, which should end up in the mess along with the fuel glob. However, spent fuel storage does not include moderator rods.

Lesson learned too late: don't store fuel rods near reactors that have to be cooled and might explode. Second lesson: MOX fuels are a very bad idea in commercial power reactors.

"According to information on the website of Tokyo Electric Power Co., which operates the Fukushima facility, more than 200 tons of spent fuel is stored [away from the reactors] in casks." See:

http://www.propublica.org/article/status-of-spent-nuclear-fuel-in- question-at-crippled-japanese-power-plant

http://tinyurl.com/4taefqa

The above site has a good satellite photo taken before Fukushima No 2 blew. There are many amateur model airplane and drone builders that could get much closer much higher resolution photos. What is really needed are little robots to explore inside. The US Navy should be able to provide some help along those lines.

The Fukushima reactors typically are loaded with 56 to 91 tons of fuel. See table on page 1 (called page 70) of:

http://www.tepco.co.jp/en/challenge/energy/pdf-1/nuclear-e.pdf

If the fuel loaded into reactor 3 is 0.5% plutonium, then that is about 280 kg of plutonium, about 45 times that in the Fat Man bomb.

If a China SYndrome develops, then huge amounts of soil material can become neutron activated, so many more tons of toxic material could end up in the environment.

Best regards,

Horace Heffner
http://www.mtaonline.net/~hheffner/




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