Jed wrote:
> If cold fusion starts to succeed in a big way, then I expect many
> people in the fossil fuel industry will begin to fear it

Thanks again for excellent post! But I think that even this is
exaggerating, because in oil industry people who has there real power
are also immeasurable wealthy. And also they have usually more
realistic view of the real world, unlike poor people who might
irrationally be afraid of better world.

This means in practice that airplane that has E-Cat steam engine and
can fly through stratosphere is far more convenient than kerosene
propelled jet engine that loses most of its power in 10 km and above.
Therefore I am sure that any powerful people in oil industry will
welcome the technology that makes them unemployed, because this would
increase greatly the overall quality of life. They will get other
powerful jobs or just retire and enjoy some quiet family life (ok,
this would not happen, because they are often power hungry
workaholics).

Of course little people around the oil industry who has no other
expertise than oil engineering or are common share holders might
suffer a minor loss in short term. But on the other hand they do not
have any means to influence to anything.

If too good to be true E-Cat is there for real, it will open up
absolutely huge new economic niche into market as ALL airplanes,
locomotives, ships and trucks must be upgraded immediately, because
oil driven technology is just too expensive to upkeep. This means that
anyone who can produce any components for E-Cat steam engines, can
have everything sold instantly and regardless of the price tag,
because markets will suffer years to come because supply just is
unable to match with demand.

Therefore there is plenty of market potential even for oil companies
and most of them are already moved in direction of general energy
industry as everyone knows that peak oil will come sooner than later.

―Jouni

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