I wrote:
> It's much better for Rossi to have licencee(s) build a few large >> electricity-generating units in well-garded places, and sell the electricity >> to resellers. >> > > The strategy would not work, and it would not be allowed. It would not work > because "security by obscurity" for such a momentous discovery would never > last. . . . > I have no idea whether this is Rossi's strategy or not. I never speculate about Rossi. This might be his strategy, but if it is, I am sure it will fail, for the reasons I spelled out. I am equally sure that Defkalion's sales strategy will also fail. There is no chance people with 40 million euros will be allowed to start build dozens of factories worldwide to manufacture machines that no physicist can explain, and only one national laboratory in Greece has tested. Such an informal, unregulated approach would never be allowed in the EU, Japan or the U.S. Perhaps you could bribe enough government officials in China to allow it, but even there the public no longer stands silently when inept officials kill people the way they did in the recent high speed railroad accident. Some people here have predicted that if cold fusion reactors do need the usual testing by government agencies, the opposition will use this as means to smother the technology, or strangle it with red tape. I disagree. The requirements for extensive testing did not stop the Prius, the Boeing "Dreamliner" aircraft, or other improved technology. Regulations added to the cost, of course. They make it impossible for a small, unfunded start-up to introduce a radical new technology. Tesla Motors, for example, has to sell cars at a high price to cover all the testing, and they use bodies developed by mainstream manufacturers. Once national laboratories worldwide begin serious testing of commercial prototype cold fusion devices, the physicists who say cold fusion does not exist will shut up and go away. Scientific American and Nature will modesty accept credit for helping to invent the technology. The public will demand that the regulatory agencies move quickly to approve the machines. If there are delays and attempts to strangle cold fusion, this will be front page news, and the public will not stand for it. I expect it will take 5 or 10 years for the devices to reach the marketplace, but I do not think any organization, cartel or corporation will be powerful enough to stop it. I am sure that many will try to stop it, but as I have often said, nothing can overrule public opinion. Despite the power of concentrated wealth and corruption on Wall Street and in government, in such matters public opinion will prevail. The only way the opposition can win will be if the public pays no attention to the tests, and expresses no desire to buy cold fusion reactors. Because cold fusion will save the average U.S. person thousands of dollars a year, and because this will soon be common knowledge, I think there is no chance the pubic will ignore this. The lure of money is too strong for that. - Jed
