I used all my abilities of clairvoyance to look into the future:
There are 4 possibilities.
1) Rossi=false, Defkalion=false
2) Rossi=false, Defkalion=true
3) Rossi=true, Defkalion=false
4) Rossi=true, Defkalion=true
1) Rossi cannot know if Defkalions claims are true, but he has nothing
to offer.
-> Rossi will continue to sell fake 1MW plants as fast as possible.
Because Defkalion never makes a successful public demonstration
this game can go on forever.
Possibly his sales will rise, if Defkalion shows disappointing
demonstrations.
2) Rossi cannot know if Defkalions claims are true, but he has nothing
to offer.
-> The game will end as soon as Defkalion has shown definitive success.
3)Rossi cannot know if Defkalions claims are true.
-> Rossi will try to sell as many 1MW plants as possible.
Because Defkalion never has real success this will go on forever.
Rossis sales will rise.
4)Rossi cannot know if Defkalions claims are true.
->Rossi will try to sell as many 1MW plants as possible.
The game will end as soon as Defkalion makes a superior
demonstration and starts selling.
Conclusion about Rossis future behaviour:
Rossi will try to sell as much as possible. Because he must fear
Defkalion makes a much more impressive demonstration, he must try to get
his money as fast as possible out of the escrow account.
He has no time to loose and will not do any new demonstrations.
This will happen in any case.
Let future be my witness!
Peter
