On Mon, Dec 5, 2011 at 2:17 AM, Mark Iverson-ZeroPoint <
[email protected]> wrote:

> JC wrote:****
>
> “Say what? That's just gibberish. I seriously doubt that Zawodny has any
> idea what that sentence means, if it means anything at all. A physical
> effect is allowed by a breakdown in a mathematical approximation? What that
> sentence does is make people's eyes glaze over, and think it sounds
> sophisticated enough that it must be true.”****
>
> ** **
>
> That certainly is one possibility… but it’s just as plausible that your
> and MY’s eyes glaze over because you don’t have enough in-depth knowledge
> of the relevant physics to fully understand what’s being proposed.
>


But my failure to understand something does not make it any more plausible
to me. Someone could come along and claim to have a theory that explains
perpetual motion machines, but I wouldn't believe it just because he could
string a bunch of sophisticated buzz-words together into an
incomprehensible sentence.

You need 780 keV at a single atomic site to induce electron capture by a
proton. This is allegedly induced by heating the lattice. So, random atomic
motion representing a fraction of an eV per atom is somehow supposed to be
concentrated by a factor of much more than a million by some resonant
phenomenon. No amount of jargon makes that plausible. WL present all sorts
of equations to justify the idea, but they don't actually calculate a
reaction rate for a given hydrogen loading in Pd or Ni.

People are skeptical of cold fusion because of the Coulomb barrier. The big
selling point about the WLT is that it is supposed to be more plausible
because it avoids the Coulomb barrier. The problem is it introduces a much
bigger energy barrier. So then, the same skeptics should be more skeptical
of WLT, not less skeptical. Why should telling people they are not
sophisticated enough to understand the mechanism be any more effective for
the WLT than for breaching the Coulomb barrier?

It's another matter to pitch it at theoretical physicists, but people like
Bushnell and Krivit pitch it at their lay audiences. And the last time I
checked, no theoretical physicists of any stripe were citing W&L, even
though it would be breakthrough physics if it were right. Even among LENR
advocates, the theoretical physicists like Hagelstein don't give it much
respect.



> this was only an internal workshop.  It was most likely background for
> others who might be interested in helping.  It most certainly was NOT a
> full description of all the LENR work that they have done.  How the hell do
> you know what data they have or don’t have?  What experiments they’ve done
> or not done?
>

It's true. It's possible they have evidence that he did not present. They
might have done an experiment where gamma rays that otherwise go right
through a nickel powder, are blocked when it's heated in an atmosphere of
hydrogen under pressure. Or other experiments that make WL more believable.
But if he's trying to attract helpers, wouldn't it make more sense to
present evidence like that? The presentation looks pretty similar to the
one he gave in 2009. No indication of progress at all. But again, maybe
he's got a reason for hiding it. Maybe, but I doubt it.

Anyway, based on what's available, I remain skeptical.

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