I judge claims made in the field of LENR by technical consistency between the claim and the research I can do to confirm or reject them. Rossi has never failed such a check.
On their face, his claims are unbelievable but I project the design that they imply and also predict what those claims mean in terms of the natural laws that must be true for those claims to also be true. Cheers: Axil On Thu, Jul 5, 2012 at 4:46 PM, Abd ul-Rahman Lomax <[email protected]>wrote: > At 01:44 PM 7/5/2012, Axil Axil wrote: > > Rossi's new reactor core design >> >> http://pesn.com/2012/01/14/**9602012_Momentous_**Breakthroughs_Announced_ >> **During_Anniversary_E-Cat_**Interview/<http://pesn.com/2012/01/14/9602012_Momentous_Breakthroughs_Announced_During_Anniversary_E-Cat_Interview/> >> >> Momentous Breakthroughs Announced During Anniversary E-Cat Interview - >> January 15, 2012 >> > [etc]. > > There is something totally clear from this document. > > There are people who can talk your pants off. Sit down and talk with them, > they can convince many people, maybe even most, to part with their money, > their trust, even their lives. > > It's obvious that for the PESN interviewers, Rossi is such a person. > > This has nothing to do with whether he's telling the truth or lying. > > It has to do with a belief about substance arising entirely out of talking. > > Due to the interview, I'm more convinced that ever the E-Cat technology >> is not only real and works, but is racing towards the market place. >> > > In other words, due to *talk* -- and little or nothing other than that -- > , the writer is convinced of a fact. No independent confirmation needed. > > With a person like this, something happens with many people. They want to > believe him. Even skeptics may give him every benefit of the doubt, and > skeptics may even forget to check everything. It seems rude. > > I haven't watched the interview, don't have time. I simply notice this: > > Rossi promised it would all be over by last October, that there would be > units for sale, independent public demonstrations, etc. None of that has > happened. > > People involved with LENR know that Nickel Hydrogen reactions might be > possible, so often give Rossi the benefit of the doubt. > > But generating a high output, even if he has done that, is only the first > step in moving to commercialization. It's also necessary that the reaction > be reliable and long-term sustainable. A reactor that works for a day or > two is going to be a problem. > > Worse, a reactor that works at a low level for a while and suddenly starts > working at a high level could be a serious safety hazard. > > Defkalion supporters have alleged that Defkalion withdrew from the > contract with Rossi because he had not met the contract standards for > reliability. True or false? I don't know. How could I know? I'd just form > an opinion from what the *people* seem like to me. That is totally > unreliable, we all can easily be fooled by people. Both directions, by the > way. We might not trust people for reasons that have nothing to do with > actual untrustworthiness. > > So, now, Rossi is allegedly moving to manufacture of a million units. To > be actually at that position, he must have a reliable core *already.* He > could start selling that core *immediately* for investigational use. With > something accessible for demonstration, the position of the U.S. Patent > Office could *easily* be reversed, their standard denial of cold fusion > devices is rebuttable with an accessible demo. He'd apply for the patent > and duke it out in court if needed, and, if he could demonstrate that core, > he'd win, hands down. > > He doesn't have to claim nuclear reactions at all. For a patent, he only > needs to demonstrate utility. Heat. > > Rossi's position makes no sense, unless he's engaging in puffery. He may > be able to say this and say that, but there is *nothing* reliable here, > it's all claim by Rossi, shifting, and speculation by others, and "I > believe him." Or "I don't believe him." > > For all of us and our energy future, I hope that Rossi is right, that he > really is about to start selling a working product. But my personal sense > tells me to not depend on it. >
