BTW:  I have talked to the author of zunzun about using Kolmogorov
Complexity.  It is doable but non-trivial.


On Fri, Nov 9, 2012 at 3:39 PM, James Bowery <[email protected]> wrote:

> In the absence of Ockham's Razor, curve fitting is prone to overfitting.
>
> There is only one robust way of dealing with this problem:
>
> Kolmogorov Complexity
>
>
> Even when you break your data up into a test set and a data set so that
> you have a way of testing to see if your fit is an overfit, once you have
> run your test set against your model any attempt to adjust your model is
> now subject to the criticism that you are now taking your test set into
> account as part of the data set you are fitting.  In practice, this
> criticism needn't be a show-stopper but it is ultimately problematic.
>
>
> On Fri, Nov 9, 2012 at 2:21 PM, Jones Beene <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> http://www.quantumheat.org/index.php/follow/109-fast-paced-progress
>>
>> Interesting technique seen in the second chart - curve matching using
>> http://zunzun.com/
>>
>> Any comments on this?
>>
>> I suppose one rationale is that if the constantan curve shows no initial
>> anomaly - but it matches the formula up to a trigger point, and then
>> diverges -then that adds credence. Or else if they will be looking a
>> similar
>> shape with a different steepness. Not sure what this curve matching adds.
>>
>> On the last  page new data is supposedly coming in - live ! but I cannot
>> get
>> the page to load
>>
>> http://www.quantumheat.org/data/calibrations/Master_Spreadsheet11-9.xls
>>
>> anyone have an updated url ?
>>
>> Jones
>>
>
>

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