During the night Santa brought me a gift!  A thought occurred to me that there 
is a very good explanation for the 30 to 40 second time constant exponential 
waveform that I have been seeking.  In order to get the best curve fit to the 
exact solution of the differential equation I have been forced to modify the 
constant of integration slightly away from the ideal value as determined by 
steady state measurements.  This seemed strange, but now I realize that it is 
required to compensate for the displacement of the rising edge due to the above 
delay.


It is necessary to add back the initial plug of energy lost when the best 
differential equation solution is followed.  This ideal solution for the best 
overall data match must start at a value that is below the actual temperature 
of the cell at t=0 in order to accommodate the delayed behavior.  The addition 
of this missing energy is exactly the amount required!


So now I can say with confidence that there exists a delay mechanism which 
retards the reading of the temperature at the outer glass surface.  This delay 
is in addition to the ideal non linear differential equation solution time 
domain response which is discussed below.  So, another way to envision the 
effect is to realize that it takes 30 to 40 seconds before the addition of heat 
 applied to the cell is registered at that test point.  An exponential 
smoothing (filtering) factor is applied.


My suspicion is that the extra pulse of heat must be distributed within the gas 
and then result in a temperature reading at the outer glass monitor after 
heating the envelop.  The heating of the other structure elements may also be 
involved in the overall action.


A careful review of the waveform hints that the test might be demonstrating an 
excess power of about 1 watt during the experiment that supplied the data.  
This is a small amount of excess power and only additional, careful analysis 
would enable me to be sure.  At least it is in the right direction!  My 
virtually perfect curve fit to the data tends to support this conclusion.


Merry Christmas!


Dave



-----Original Message-----
From: David Roberson <[email protected]>
To: vortex-l <[email protected]>
Sent: Tue, Dec 25, 2012 2:13 am
Subject: [Vo]:Non Linear Model of Celani Device


The data has been flooding in from the MFMP and I have been seeking a time 
domain model of the system behavior when power to the Celani replication device 
is modified.   Most of my effort has been exerted by analyzing the rising edge 
of the time domain waveform when the drive power is stepped up by a significant 
amount.  The temperature follows a certain path as it ramps up to the value 
required to balance the input and output power of the cell.


We have been fortunate in this particular case to find that the relationship 
between temperature and input power is well behaved and follows a second order 
curve to a remarkable degree.  It is not uncommon to see a curve fit with 
R^2=.9999 or better in many independent test runs.  I initially was expecting 
to see a power series that included a forth order term of significance due to 
the S-B radiation equation.  This has not ever been dominate in any test and I 
still am trying to understand why this is true.  For the time being I will 
accept this gift happily.


A quick glance at the shape of the rising edge of the temperature curve 
suggests that it follows an exponential.  I thus began my model by making that 
assumption and got fairly reasonable results.  It was always evident that my 
curve fit contained holes, but a couple of degrees of error did not seem too 
excessive at that time.  Being a perfectionist, I decided to improve the 
situation and to determine how well a model could match the real life test.


I very soon added a second exponential to the mix and noticed that the fit 
improved remarkably.  Also, I noticed that the second real frequency was close 
to the second harmonic of the first one determined by my earlier work.  A light 
went off inside my head and I realized that this would be expected since the 
non linearity is mainly of second order in the relationship between variables.  
Now, I saw that the accuracy of my model was becoming very acceptable.  There 
remained a short period of time at the initial power increase where the fit was 
not as good as I hoped.  To fix this problem I added another exponential with 
an associated time constant of about 40 seconds.  With this model, I could 
obtain an excellent match between my simulation and the real world data.


I could have left it in this state, but it is hard to accept imperfection.  To 
pursue the matter further I used a LTSpice model of the system.   I guessed 
correctly in my first try with the model and was rewarded with a well behaved 
simulation that included the second order distortion effects.  This model was 
used for a significant time as it matched the real world waveforms everywhere 
except for the initial short period that required another time constant to fix.


Looking at my spice model gave me an interesting idea.  I used a capacitor to 
represent storage of the incoming energy and the node it is connected to reads 
expected time domain temperature for the outside glass sensor.  In parallel 
with the storage capacitor is a pair of current sources, one representing power 
applied to the cell, the other power being taken away by the various paths.  
The draining current source appears as a parallel conductance who's value 
depends upon the voltage at the temperature node.  I, of course, was seeking 
verification of the time constant associated with the exponential rise 
waveforms and attempted to use the effective conductance value in parallel with 
my storage capacitor for a quick check.  This lead to the non linear 
differential equation definition that works so well.


It occurred to me that my model could be expressed in the form of a non linear 
differential equation with a little manipulation of the shape.  Basically you 
have a parallel capacitor being driven by a current source that is paralleled 
by a non linear conductance.  The non linear conductance is neatly defined by 
the second order equation derived from the calibration runs for the Celani 
cell.  Now, all I had to do was to solve the non linear differential equation 
that I constructed and insert the initial conditions to define the temperature 
and power over any time frame.  My first thought was yipes!


I consulted our favorite source wikipedia to find the solution to unusual 
integrals.  The one I needed to solve was in the form of: Integral 
dx/(a*x^2+b*x+c) with initial condition of the temperature of the steady state 
value just prior to the application of an increase in power.  I transformed the 
time scale so that time = 0 was with this application of extra power.  It turns 
out that there is an exact solution to such an equation which you can look up 
at your convenience to save time and space here.  I had to perform some 
interesting series adjustments to get the curve within the desired temperature 
band, and I was a bit rusty at first.  Finally, a perfect curve was being 
generated that matched the time domain data extremely well except for that 
nagging time region at the very start.


I continue to have to include an additional exponentially rising pulse function 
with a time constant around 40 seconds at the application of the extra drive to 
get virtually perfect tracking to the real world data.  Next, I included 
another drive current waveform of this nature to my spice model and it tweaks 
the start of the rising edge a tiny amount much like a delay.  I am still 
seeking a good explanation for the necessity of this extra pulse source and I 
wonder if it can be traced to the IR effects or some other relatively large 
time constant such as the glass heating.


The nature of the extra leading edge drive pulse can be described as a signal 
that begins at a certain level and decays exponentially to zero with a time 
constant of 40 seconds.  The effective DC component of the waveform is taken 
out by the action of the non linear conductance.


One interesting observation is that the calibration determined a,b, and c that 
constitute coefficients of the second order equation defining Power versus 
Outside Glass Temperature along with the input power uniquely determine the 
steady state temperature of the device.  These four variables define operation 
over the entire range of input powers.  My model also includes a capacitor that 
acts as the energy storage stand in.  One good temperature rising transition 
allows me to choose the correct capacitor to enter into the model.   The 
additional short time exponential must be determined by curve fitting within a 
short initial period typically 100 seconds.


I have found this exercise interesting and educational.  If a good explanation 
for that initial power pulse is obtained I can relax and fool with the incoming 
data.  I am hoping that my contributions will enable us to discover any excess 
power that may occur by its signature outside of the normal that I now model 
and observe.


Dave
 

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