Jed’s concept of the LENR product line evolution is sadly limited to energy products. With the money that LENR based firms make from energy production and products, they will reinvest in the transmutation technology where cheap material like waste, junk, silicon, carbon, and oxygen are transmuted into rare earths, copper and nickel.
To achieve that level of control of the processes that are going on inside the nucleus requires a huge amount of science and engineering R&D. The money to do this science and engineering will come from the first tier of LENR products. The next step will be the integration of 3D based printing that is coupled with LERN transmutation. For example, the design and build specifications of a car will be fed into a large scale manufacturing 3D printer that is fed by mountains of junk, sand and/or water input material. Cars will roll out of the business end of the LENR 3D printing factory. It takes capital to design and build such advancements in science and engineering. Jed sees LENR energy production as the end point of the LENR design and science cycle. His focus is narrow and myopic. Because of his lack of vision, Jed’s predictions cannot be true. LENR energy production is just the beginning. What capabilities that LENR will allow us to achieve cannot be currently imagined. What is certain is that money from the first tier of LENR products will be used to build the next tier of products. This need for research funding is what will keep the cost of LENR energy moderately high. On Sun, Sep 8, 2013 at 2:41 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote: > I wrote: > > >> Even if we paid Rossi $10 billion today for his discovery, in a few years >> you would be paying only a few dollars extra per car or a few dollars per >> year for electricity to reimburse him. >> > > That is not to say cold fusion devices will be cheap at first. You will > pay a tremendous premium for them. That money will be profit for the > companies that made the machines. The R&D will be amortized quickly and the > rest will be gravy. It will take a while to make cold fusion into a > commodity. The patents will have to expire. The knowledge of how to make > them will have to spread. > > Once it becomes a commodity the price will fall, and fall, and fall until > there is practically no profit in making it. Eventually, cold fusion motors > will be cheaper than today's gasoline or electric motors. (With robotics > and other techniques, today's motors would also get cheaper if we continued > to develop them, but we won't.) The fuel, hydrogen, is the cheapest and > most abundant substance in the universe, so it will never cost any > measurable amount of money, even including the cost of purification. Even > if only deuterium works. > > The technology is high tech but fundamentally simple, like making writable > CD disks or NiCad batteries. It is something that any of a thousand > industrial companies can learn to do, and hundreds of them will learn to do > it. > > - Jed > >
