On Tue, Sep 30, 2014 at 7:22 PM, Jed Rothwell <[email protected]> wrote:
> James Bowery <[email protected]> wrote: > > That's is completely wrong! The CDC is within sight of my office and I > know people who work there. News from the CDC is in the Metro section of > Atlanta newspapers often. I assure you they are working night and day > assessing the impact and taking steps to deal with it. Those people know > what they are doing. They are skilled, brave and effective. > > You just tangled with the wrong guy, Jed. I was the one who contacted the authors of Nature's cover story on AIDS epidemiology (May et al) in 1987 to correct their model -- and guess how I knew about the error? Some grad students at the U of IL had been at the summer seminars held at the CDC and the CDC was relying on the erroneous model -- propagating it uncritically to the students who were then coming back to tell the campus at the U of IL that the AIDS epidemic was over. Indeed, it was according to the model. The correction by May referred to this as "some confusion" I believe.
