The problem for Britain was that the French were providing up to 90% of the 
military ordnance needed by Washington's forces, and most strategically, their 
fleet prevented Cornwallis from reaching his ships, thus ending the war at the 
Battle of Yorktown.

Tony Gronowicz

-------------- Original message from Arif Bhuiyan <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>: 
-------------- 

1776 and all that
Could Britain have won the American war of independence if it had used 
contemporary counterinsurgency techniques to crush George Washington?
The Guardian, March 31, 2008
By Andrew Exum (Andrew Exum led a platoon of US army Rangers in Iraq in 2003 
and Afghanistan in 2004. He lives in London, where he studies contemporary 
insurgent groups in the War Studies Department at King’s College London and 
edits a popular blog on counterinsurgency strategy and tactics)
The past few days have witnessed horrific fighting in Basra, where the British 
army turned over the province to the control of the Iraqi government last year. 
Questions are being raised as to how effective the army was in the early years 
of the Iraq war and whether or not it allowed Shia militias to take root and 
grow in southern Iraq to the point where taking action against them would have 
meant combat operations as bloody as the American-led offensives on Fallujah in 
2004.

These questions are good ones. To a large degree, the British went into 
southern Iraq confident their imperial history and recent experience in 
Northern Ireland gave them a leg up on the US army and Marine Corps - relative 
neophytes to counterinsurgency warfare. But every insurgency, as Lieutenant 
General Sir John Kiszely is right to stress [PDF], is sui generis. Going into 
southern Iraq and treating Basra province like an Arabic-speaking County Antrim 
was always going to end in heartbreak.

That does not mean, however, that we cannot learn general lessons that can be 
applied to most insurgencies and post-conflict environments. Recently, senior 
British army officers have privately expressed horror at the rapid degree to 
which the US military has learned to wage population-centric counterinsurgency 
warfare effectively, in contrast to the British military, which has, in their 
estimation, remained intellectually rooted in its 20th-century experiences in 
Ireland and Malaya. Having turned down an American offer to help draft the new 
US counterinsurgency manual issued in 2006, the British army is now scrambling 
to draft and publish a new manual of its own.

But maybe the British army was never that good at counterinsurgency warfare in 
the first place. In fact, the very existence of the United States of America 
points toward an 18th-century counterinsurgency failure of epic proportions. At 
the moment, Americans are reliving their revolutionary era through HBO's slick 
new mini-series on founding father John Adams. But this interest in the 
American Revolution surely opens the door onto an interesting thought 
experiment: What would have happened had the British army applied contemporary 
counterinsurgency doctrine against those pesky colonists in the 18th century?

This question is one currently being asked by several smart US army and Marine 
Corps officers who have taken their experiences fighting insurgencies in Iraq 
and Afghanistan and applied them to historical analysis of other American wars. 
In his paper [PDF] on British counterinsurgency efforts in the American south 
during the revolution, US Marine Corps Lieutenant Colonel Paul Montanus notes 
with incredulity that while the British army garrisoned over 15,000 troops to 
defend New York City, only 8,500 men were left to execute counterinsurgency 
operations in the south. That meant the British had a troops-to-population 
ratio of 2:195 - far below what most contemporary military planners would deem 
necessary to fight an effective counterinsurgency campaign.

British brutality also served to alienate a population that was - in the south, 
at least - not entirely hostile to the British empire initially (although never 
as loyal as the British imagined). When Lieutenant Colonel Banastre Tarleton 
opened fire on a group of colonial militiamen attempting to surrender in 1780, 
the act shocked even colonists lukewarm toward the colonial rebellion. 
Tarleton's portrait hangs, today, in the National Gallery off Trafalgar Square 
- though acts of brutality such as his did as much as anything to lose the war 
for hearts and minds.

Third, the British might have had more success had they employed an "oil spot" 
strategy used with success in counterinsurgency campaigns. By clinging onto the 
population centres of the north, the British army stretched its small army to 
the point of ineffectiveness. Had they initially concentrated in the more 
favourable conditions of the American south - where 25% of the population in 
1780 remained loyal to the crown - and worked north, they might have enjoyed 
more success.

Even that, however, would not have been easy. As US army Major Todd Johnson 
explains in a monograph on American insurgency efforts in the southern 
colonies, the rebel cause was well-served by some gifted field commanders 
including Nathanael Greene, Thomas Sumter and the legendary Francis "Swamp Fox" 
Marion. (My ancestor, Colonel Benjamin Exum, did his part fighting the British 
in the mountains of North Carolina.)

Finally, the greatest enemy the British faced in the American colonies might 
have been the arrogance for which the British - or at least the English - are 
sadly famous. (Note: for every Englishman offended by that last sentence, at 
least a dozen Scots, Irish, Welsh, Australian and Kiwi readers are chuckling 
knowingly.) Had the British swallowed their pride and worked with the colonists 
to address legitimate concerns about the tax acts prior to the start of 
hostilities, who knows what might have happened?

It's best for everyone's sake, though, that things turned out the way they did. 
The hostilities between the America and Great Britain did not end with the 
revolution. (You burned our capital in 1814; we routed you at New Orleans and 
shipped the body of your commander back to London in a pickle barrel. Sorry!) 
Today, though, Americans look to our mother country with great affection, and 
the relationship between the two peoples has remained strong despite the strain 
of Iraq. I am both a proud American and a resident of East London (though in my 
heart I am a citizen, not a subject).
http://commentisfree.guardian.co.uk/andrew_exum/2008/03/1776_and_all_that.html

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