Let me put it this way: I've spent weeks and weeks researching many many python frameworks, but never found one that seemed proven in terms of adoption by a large number of high-traffic sites.
one could say the same thing about Rails.
And since you can never really learn how good a framework is until you try it out, this information gathering had a tremendous cost! That cost slows down the entire community and keeps people out -- at some level, it's good just to have popularity among simple web developers, not just the people willing to hack around and create new frameworks.
for various reasons, some of which I think are historial, none of the frameworks have really had all the elements in place which would enable them to catch on to the degree necessary that there would be a substantial supporting community, established maturity of design, straightforward base of documentation, and ongoing progressive development, which is what the entering developer is looking for. But i dont think this is because there are too many frameworks. i think its just because none of them have caught on to a great enough degree, as of yet.
i think no matter how many frameworks there are, if one of them is truly superior, easy to use, and can grow as much as the site can, it will become a winner all on its own (note I didnt say *the* winner). the current plethora presents no hindrance to that.
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