Poll: Obama Opens 14-Point Lead On McCain
CBS News/New York Times Survey Shows Major Swing Among Independents, Suggests 
McCain's Strategy May Be Hurting Him
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Oct. 14, 2008 




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 (CBS/AP)

 (CBS) Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama is entering the third and 
final presidential debate Wednesday with a wide lead over Republican rival John 
McCain nationally, a new CBS News/New York Times poll shows. 

The Obama-Biden ticket now leads the McCain-Palin ticket 53 percent to 39 
percent among likely voters, a 14-point margin. One week ago, prior to the Town 
Hall debate that uncommitted voters saw as a win for Obama, that margin was 
just three points. 

Among independents who are likely voters - a group that has swung back and 
forth between McCain and Obama over the course of the campaign - the Democratic 
ticket now leads by 18 points. McCain led among independents last week. 

McCain's campaign strategy may be hurting hurt him: Twenty-one percent of 
voters say their opinion of the Republican has changed for the worse in the 
last few weeks. The top two reasons cited for the change of heart are McCain's 
attacks on Obama and his choice of Sarah Palin as running mate. 



 Read The Complete CBS News/NY Times Poll On The Presidential Race 


Obama is widely seen as running the more positive campaign: Sixty-one percent 
of those surveyed say McCain is spending more time attacking his opponent than 
explaining what he would do as president. Just 27 percent say the same of 
Obama. 

McCain's favorable rating has fallen four points from last week, to 36 percent, 
and is now lower than his 41 percent unfavorable rating. Obama, by contrast, is 
now viewed favorably by half of registered voters and unfavorably by just 32 
percent. 

Obama holds a considerable edge over his rival on having the right "personality 
and temperament" to be president, with 69 percent saying Obama does and 53 
percent saying McCain does. The Democratic nominee is also widely seen as more 
likely to make the right decision on the economy, far and away the top issue 
for voters, in a survey taken in the immediate aftermath of last week's 
historic Wall Street losses. 

Opinions of the candidates could still change, and potential trouble spots 
remain for Obama, among them the fact that small percentages of voters cite 
Obama's past associations with Bill Ayers (9 percent) and Reverend Jeremiah 
Wright (11 percent) as issues that bother them. 

But with more than four out of five of each candidate’s supporters now saying 
their minds are made up, the poll suggests that McCain faces serious challenges 
as he looks to close the gap on his Democratic rival in the final three weeks 
of the campaign. 

Views Of The Candidates 

Obama's lead over McCain when it comes to the economy has grown since last 
week, and a majority of registered voters now say they are not confident in 
McCain to make the right decisions on economic issues. Thirty-nine percent are 
not confident in Obama. 

There is, however, an opening for the candidates in this area: Fewer than one 
quarter are presently very confident in either Obama or McCain to make the 
right decisions on the economic crisis. 

On raising taxes - an area where a Republican nominee might be expected to have 
an edge - Obama also leads. Despite the McCain campaign's efforts to cast Obama 
as a tax-raiser, more registered voters say McCain is likely to raise their 
taxes (51 percent) than say Obama will raise their taxes (46 percent). 

Voters are almost three times more likely to be very confident in Obama when it 
comes to health care (28 percent) than McCain (10 percent). A majority of 
voters, 54 percent, are not confident in McCain to handle health care, while 33 
percent are not confident in Obama. 

McCain continues to be hurt by his perceived ties to the unpopular Republican 
president, George W. Bush, whose approval rating is 24 percent. More than half 
of registered voters surveyed say they expect McCain to continue Mr. Bush's 
economic policies if he is elected. 

 
continued.......
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/10/14/opinion/polls/main4522273.shtml
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