Tuesday, October 28, 2008 

Presidential race in Arizona a toss-up
 
TEMPE, Ariz. ––Republican John McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by two points 
(46 percent to 44 percent) in Arizona, a margin that makes the race too close 
to call, according to a new Cronkite/Eight Poll. The poll of 1,019 registered 
voters in Arizona was conducted Oct. 23-26 and has a margin of error of plus or 
minus 3 percentage points. According to poll director Dr. Bruce Merrill, “The 
race in Arizona is very close. Supporters of both candidates are highly 
committed to their candidates, with 94 percent of Obama’s supporters and 93 
percent of McCain’s supporters indicating that they are firmly committed and 
won’t change their mind before Election Day. In addition, the undecided vote is 
very low, which means that there are few people remaining to be persuaded 
during the last week of the campaign. Obama has been closing the gap by 
attracting independents and women to his campaign. McCain does well among 
conservative Democrats and
 evangelicals. Still, a week is a long time in a political campaign and 
anything can happen. Who wins will be determined by which candidate gets their 
supporters out to the polls on Election Day.”
 
The statewide poll also found that a majority (62 percent) of all registered 
voters believes that Obama will win the presidency next Tuesday, while 20 
percent think McCain will win. Thirty-eight percent of the Republicans in the 
state and 34 percent of those supporting McCain believe the Illinois senator 
will win. The poll also found that, by a two-to-one margin (46 percent to 22 
percent), voters believe that McCain is running a more negative campaign than 
Obama. 
 
percent Independent, with 49 percent men and 51 percent women. 
 
 
http://www.azpbs.org/horizon/poll/2008/10-28-08.htm
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