Oct. 29, 2008 – 12:26 a.m. 

What McCain Defectors See in Obama
By Madison Powers, CQ Guest Columnist 

Much has been made of the wave of high-profile Republican defections from the 
McCain campaign. The mass departure has been explained largely in terms of the 
disaffection of its intellectual wing with the direction of the party. In one 
quarter, it is explained by the choice of Sarah Palin . In another quarter, the 
story is that there has been a deep fault line in the 30 year old Republican 
coalition, for which the Palin choice is but a symptom, or perhaps merely the 
last straw in a process already well in the making. 
There is much to be said for the thesis that the coalition’s days were 
numbered. The coalition of the rich, the mean, and the uninformed has always 
been unstable and it had begun to unravel before McCain tore at the seams. 
 
The rich and the well-educated classes from one step down on the socioeconomic 
ladder could tolerate the mean wing of the party as long as the vulgarian hit 
men like Karl Rove could guarantee the economically beneficial status quo. They 
could even swallow their pride and be willing to be seen publicly with the 
know-nothings who deny all evidence of global warming and reject the theory of 
evolution. While some may well have their own misgivings about matters such as 
abortion, they generally do not share the moral certitude expressed by some of 
their allies. 
 
In a way, Bush is the paradigmatic - and tragic - figure of that frayed 
coalition. He is the embodiment of all three wings. He’s part Yalie and part 
yahoo, and he’s always palled around with a bad crowd. In the end, few found 
much reason to stick by him. Some went for Palin and grudgingly embraced 
McCain, for now. Some stayed on board with McCain and the vulgarians who serve 
up the political equivalent of the WWF on cable news every night. Others found 
that it was time to leave. 
 
There seems to be more at work behind the Republican exodus than the 
centrifugal forces that have pushed a few prominent conservative opinion 
leaders away from their party roots.
 
For one thing, there are just too many of them, and they are a diverse in 
background, outlook, and experience. It’s not just the effete intellectuals 
who’ve jumped ship. The growing list includes Republicans who were governors, 
senators, congressmen, cabinet officials, military leaders, corporate 
directors, and even some stodgy old newspaper editors. They are serious people, 
genuinely concerned about the future of the country, and they are not much 
given to fads and fluff.
 
In short, the rank and file of defectors are not merely the Republican party 
irregulars who are, in reality, the party regulars of the much maligned 
Georgetown cocktail circuit. Nor can this phenomenon be explained as some sort 
of mass, late-life ideological epiphany. 
 
They could have chosen to sit this one out and pin their hopes on regrouping 
for the next time around, or they could silently cross party lines and go back 
to their cocktails (in someplace other than Georgetown). But they did not 
remain silent, and they did not break their silence simply by pronouncing their 
verdict based on an assessment of the lesser of two evils. 
 
What is most striking about these high-visibility defections is that that 
overwhelmingly they come with ringing endorsements. They speak to Obama’s 
skills, abilities, and temperament. Everywhere, except in the occasional tepid 
endorsement such as the one in the Washington Post, the precipitating factors 
may be the lead line, but the bulk of these statements is taken up by 
extraordinary praise for Obama. That cries out for explanation.
 
The defectors are a mixed lot, but all represent some brand of recognizably 
conservative thought. Some like Doug Kmiec, Andrew Sullivan, and Ken Adelman 
are probably conservatives by anyone’s definition, while others are cut partly 
from an older mold. They bear some resemblance to the moderate Republicanism of 
the Rockefeller era, but the issues of their time are not the same. 
 
Also, there are the venerable Republican names of Goldwater, Buckley, and 
Eisenhower who have signed on to Obama’s cause, and while no single one perhaps 
meets all litmus tests some true believers might want in a conservative, there 
is an unmistakable family of conservative ideas represented. These include a 
commitment to greater fiscal responsibility, a distaste for foreign 
interventionism, and a principled Burkean resistance to aggressive programs of 
social experimentation. 
 
My hunch is that many conservatives find qualities in Obama that are 
reassuringly familiar. Obama is the kind of liberal that Burkean conservatives 
can love. He calls for change, but he does not advertise “bold” change. 
Conservatives who find an intellectual affinity with classical conservative 
thinker, Edmund Burke, prefer the Eisenhower type of leadership. They prefer a 
steady hand, a willingness to depart from tradition in gradual steps. They find 
most appealing a person with a predilection for sticking with what works, 
making modifications incrementally, and not rushing out to place large gambles 
in times when so much is already at stake. 
 
Obama’s health care plan is a good example. That so many people lack health 
care insurance is a moral and economic blight on the nation. Few people from 
any point along the ideological spectrum deny that. 

Any number of alternatives for reform are imaginable. Obama has said that were 
we in the position to design a health care system from scratch, a 
Canadian-style single payer plan would have much merit. But he is clear in 
acknowledging that we are not in that position. 
 
Instead, Obama’s proposal involves building on the federal system of insurance 
programs. The uninsured or those unsatisfied with their current insurance plan 
would be able to join existing plans available to federal employees around the 
country. There is no new bureaucracy to create. There are no fundamentally new 
policies or procedures to craft from the ground up. There are no new 
opportunities to be exploited by new market entrants seeking to get in on 
government-funded largess without established mechanisms for accountability. 
Moreover, the federal employee system is national in scope. It’s ready to be 
extended to people in Mississippi and Montana alike. 
 
Even more reassuring for some conservatives is the fact that the plan resembles 
in many respects the ideas put forward by Rep. Jim Cooper , a Tennessee 
Democrat who is leader of the powerful Blue Dog Democratic coalition. 
 
There is more to this than mere policy affinities with ideas already in 
principle vetted by center/right forces within both Democratic and Republican 
parties. Obama recently met with the Blue Dogs and his message was a direct 
statement of how he intends to govern. 
 
He acknowledged that they have the power to “clear or block” legislation, and 
that he would seek their partnership from the outset. Instead of trying to 
govern solely from the left side of the aisle, Obama reassures conservatives by 
pursuing liberal principle with a deliberateness and cautiousness that most 
conservatives don’t usually associate with the Democratic brand. If Obama 
becomes president, my guess is that we are in for some big surprises beyond the 
surprising nature of the campaign he has run.
 
Madison Powers is Senior Research Scholar, Kennedy Institute of Ethics, 
Georgetown University. His column appears regularly on Wednesday in CQ Politics.
 
 
http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?parm1=5&docID=news-000002980187
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