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Juval Aviv  *Claim:*   Juval Aviv correctly predicted upcoming terrorist
attacks on the U.S.

 *FALSE*
*Example:*   *[Collected via e-mail, July 2007]*

 FROM THE C.O. OF MOSSAD / PLEASE READ

A week ago, I was able to attend a dinner with Juval Aviv - the Israeli
Agent who the movie "Munich" was about... He was Golda Meir's bodyguard and
she appointed him to track down and bring to justice the Palestinian
terrorists who took the Israeli athletes hostage and killed them during the
Munich Olympic Games. Tonight he shared information that EVERY American
needs to know but our government has not shared. His bio is below, his book
is "Staying Safe" and I suggest you buy and read it.

First, I am going to share what he discussed in regard to the Bush
Administration, 9/11 and Iraq and then I will share his predictions for the
next attack on the U.S. (and he predicted the London subway bombing on the
Bill O'Reilly show on Fox News stating publicly that it would happen within
a week - O'Reilly laughed and mocked him saying that in a week he wanted him
back on the show and unfortunately, within a week the terrorist attack
occured).

Juval Aviv gave intelligence (via what he had gathered in Israel and the
Middle East) to the Bush Administration about 9/11 a month before it
occured. His report specifically said they would use planes as bombs and
target high profile buildings and monuments. The Administration ridiculed
him and refused to respond (Congress has since hired him as a security
consultant - but still the Administration does not listen to him). Within a
month 9/11 occured.

He didn't agree with going into Iraq - said it didn't make sense if we
wanted terrorists responsible for 9/11 (and also he believes in Golda Meir's
approach which
was to bring justice to the terrorists but do not take down civilians -
killing civilians only creates more terrorists - but similar to Bush,
Israel's subsequent leaders were not as insightful as Golda Meir) - however,
when we did decide to invade Iraq we should have learned from Israel's past
mistakes. He very articulately stated that Israel's greatest mistake against
their war on terror was to invade the West Bank and Gaza and stay there...
He said they should have done the proven anti-terrorist strategy which was
"Hit and Leave" instead of "Hit and Stay." Now we are stuck in Iraq and it
is worse than Vietnam - Iraq is the U.S.'s West Bank/Gaza . He doesn't think
we will ever be able to truly leave because even when we are able to pull
our troops back we will still have to go back regularly which will keep us
quagmired. We should have hit hard and left immediately - or actually, we
shouldn't have gone in at all...

Now for the scary stuff.... He predicts the next attack on the U.S. is
coming within the next few months. Forget hijacking airplanes because he
says terrorists will NEVER try and hijack a plane again as the people on the
plane will not go down quietly. Aviv believes our airport security is a
joke- we are being reactionary versus looking at strategies that are
effective.

1) Our machines are outdated. They look for metal and the new explosives are
made of plastic

2) He talked about how some idiot tried to light his shoe on fire - we now
have to take off our shoes, a group of idiots tried to bring aboard liquid
explosives - now we can't bring liquids on board. He is waiting for some
suicidal maniac to pour liquid explosive on their underwear and light up in
a plane or in the terminal and then we will all have to travel naked!

3) We only focus on security when people are heading to the gates, he says
that if a terrorist attack targets airports in the future, they will target
busy times and on the front end when people are checking in. It would be
easy for someone to take two suitcases of explosives, walk up to a busy
check-in line, ask a person next to them to watch their bags for a minute
while they run to the restroom or get a drink (and I have done that for
people myself) and then detonate the bags BEFORE security even gets
involved. Israel checks bags before people can enter the airport.

Now, back to his predictions: He says the next attack will come in the next
few months and will involve suicide bombers and non-suicide bombers in
places that people congregate: Disneyland, Las Vegas, Big Cities (NY, SFO,
Chicago, etc...) and there it will be shopping malls, subways in rush hour,
train stations, casinos, etc.. as well as rural America (Wyoming, Montana,
etc...). The attack will be simultaneous detonations around the country
(they like big impact) 5-8 cities including rural areas. They won't need to
use suicide bombers because at largely populated places like the MGM Grand
in Vegas - they can simply valet park!

He says this is well known in intelligence circles but our government does
not want to alarm Americans. However, he also said that Bush will attack
Iran and Syria before he leaves office (we are being prepared for that! and
I have to wonder if we are not hearing about this impending attack so
America will support attacking Iran and Syria ?). In addition, since we
don't have enough troops Bush will likely use small, strategic nuclear
weapons regardless that the headlines the next day will read "US Nukes
Islamic World" and the world will be a different place to such an extent
that global warming will be irrevelent.

These are not conspiracy theories or crazy rantings. This is the man (and we
have all heard/read that the Bush Administration was warned about 9/11 prior
to it happening) who did the warning. He travels regularly to the Middle
East and he knows his stuff. On a good note - he says we don't have to worry
about being nuked - he says the terrorists who want to destroy America will
not use sophisticated weapons - they like suicide as the frontline approach.
He also says the next level of terrorists will not be coming from abroad,
but will be homegrown - having attended our schools and universities - but
will have traveled frequently back and forth to the Middle East. They will
know and understand Americans but we won't understand them - we still only
have a handful of Arabic and Farsi speaking people in our intelligence
networks and we need that to change he said...What can we do? From an
intelligence perspective he says the U.S . needs to stop relying on
satellites and technology for intelligence but follow Israel, Ireland and
England's example of human intelligence both from an infiltration
perspective as well as trust citizens to help. We need to engage and educate
ourselves as citizens but our government treats us like babies and thinks we
can't handle it and will panic.

He did a test for Congress recently putting an empty briefcase in 5 major
spots in 5 US cities and not one person called 911 or sought a policeman to
check it out. In fact, in Chicago - someone tried to steal it! In Israel an
unattended bag or package would be reported in seconds with a citizen
shouting "Unattended Bag" and the area cleared slowly, calmly and
immediately by the people themselves. Unfortunately, we haven't hurt enough
yet for us to be that concerned....

He also discussed how many children were in preschool and kindergarten after
9/11 without parents to pick them up and the schools did not have a plan. Do
you have a plan with your kids, schools and families if you cannot reach
each other by phone? If you cannot return to your house? If you cannot get
to your child's school - do they know what to do? We should all have a plan.


He said that our government's plan after the next attack is to immediately
cut-off EVERYONE's ability to use their telephone, cell phone, blackberry
because they don't want terrorists to be able to talk to one another - do
you have a plan if you cannot communicate directly with those that you love?


Again - I recommend his book, "Staying Safe" and I also recommend we
heighten each other's attention now for the inevitable.... In fact, this
week the Today Show began with a segment that Al Qaeda was resurfacing - the
same kind of action on the Pakistani border occurred before 9/11...

It is scary, but we do not have to panic, we just need to be aware....
Unfortunately, the Bush Administration has not been helpful and we cannot
change things until 2008. However, remember that when you vote....

Juval Aviv holds an M.A. in Business from Tel Aviv University. He is
President and CEO of Interfor, Inc. Based in New York with offices around
the world, founded in 1979, Interfor provides foreign and domestic
intelligence services to the legal, corporate and financial communities and
conducts investigations around the world. In addition, Mr. Aviv serves as a
special consultant to the U.S. Congress and other policy makers on issues of
terrorism, fraud and money laundering.

A leading authority on terrorist networks, Mr. Aviv served as lead
investigator for Pan Am Airways into the Pan Am 103-Lockerbie terrorist
bombing. He was featured in the recent film, Munich, as the leader of the
Israeli team that tracked down the terrorists who kidnapped the Israeli
Olympic team. Interfor's services encompass white-collar crime
investigations, asset search and recovery, corporate due diligence,
litigation support, fraud investigations, internal compliance
investigations, security and vulnerability assessments. Since its inception,
Interfors asset investigation services have recovered over $2 billion
worldwide for its clients.

Before founding Interfor, Mr. Aviv served as an officer in the Israel
Defense Force (Major, retired) leading an elite Commando/Intelligence Unit,
and was later selected by the Israeli Secret Service (Mossad) to participate
in a number of intelligence and special operations in many countries in the
late 1960s and 1970s. While working as a consultant with El Al, Mr. Aviv
surveyed the existing security measures in place and updated El Al's
security program, making El Al the safest airline in business today.

Most recently, Mr. Aviv wrote Staying Safe: The Complete Guide to Protecting
Yourself, Your Family, and Your Business, (2004, HarperResource). He is also
the author of several other published books on terrorism. He has been a
guest on ABC Nightline, FOX News, CNN, BBC Newsnight, ZDF (German National
Television) and RAI (Italian National Television) and has been featured in
numerous articles in major magazines and newspapers worldwide


*Origins:*   Juval Aviv is indeed the president of New York-based Interfor
Inc. (a corporate investigations firm), he was the source for the 1984 book
*Vengeance: The True Story of an Israeli Counter-Terrorist Team* (the basis
for the 2005 Steven Spielberg film *Munich*), he is the author of *Staying
Safe: The Complete Guide to Protecting Yourself, Your Family, and Your
Business*, and he has made predictions about imminent terrorist attacks on
the United States (and the forms they might take) similar to the ones
described above.

However, some critics have expressed skepticism about Aviv's background,
claiming that he has grossly exaggerated his "spymaster" credentials, as the
*Guardian* maintained in a 2006 article about the film *Munich*:  Our
investigations show that Aviv never served in Mossad, or any Israeli
intelligence organisation. He had failed basic training as an Israeli
Defence Force commando, and his nearest approximation to spy work was as a
lowly gate guard for the airline El Al in New York in the early 70s. The
tale he had woven [in *Vengeance*] was apparently nothing more than a Walter
Mitty fabrication.
 We also couldn't verify the claim that Mr. Aviv predicted the July 2005
London bombings on Fox News just one week before they occurred. Although
Aviv was a frequent guest on American news programs in the years after the
11 September 2001 terrorist attacks, our search of television news
transcripts did not turn up any appearances by him on such programs between
5 November 2004 and the day after the London bombings (8 July 2005).

More important, though, the above-quoted predictions Aviv made about
terrorists hitting the U.S. in "six, seven, or eight cities simultaneously"
sometime "within the next 90 days" are outdated, as he issued them back in July
2005 <http://www.worldnetdaily.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=45194>. It
seems safe to say from this vantage point that those predictions were not
correct, as no such attacks occurred.

*Last updated:*   16 January 2009

The URL for this page is http://www.snopes.com/rumors/soapbox/juvalaviv.asp

Urban Legends Reference Pages (c) 1995-2009 by Barbara and David P. Mikkelson.

This material may not be reproduced without permission.
snopes and the snopes.com logo are registered service marks of snopes.com.
 Sources:      Melman, Yossi and Steven Hartov.   "Munich: Fact and
Fantasy."     *The Guardian.*   17 January 2006.     *The Independent.*
"Juval Aviv: The Good Assassin."     16 July 2006.

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