Defending Torture Will Wreck The GOP 
by organicdemocrat
Sat Apr 25, 2009 at 05:26:48 AM PDT
Crossposted from  

There are two sources of political power. The more obvious is incumbency. When 
you hold office, you hold the purse strings,can make appointments. Also pass 
bills and  set policy.

The less obvious is the power of insurgency. When you are out of power, you get 
to sit back and criticize, watch for abuses of power, put your opponent on the 
defensive by exposing corruption. To do this effectively you must be aggressive 
and passionate. You need to have a cause that will unite your base, which might 
whither away without patronage.

The best situation of all is to be able to do both. As you are reforming the 
Government in your own vision, the past abuses of the previous Government come 
out. The more embarrassing the revelations, the more dispirited the 
opposition's base will be. They will be too busy defending the indefensible to 
launch any offensive against you. And you can use that breathing room to 
further your own agenda.

  a.. organicdemocrat's diary :: :: 
To do this effectively, the President needs to be above the fray. He cannot be 
seen as fanning the flames of outrage against the abuses of the previous 
government. In fact, he needs to be the one shielding them from the lynch mob, 
while his own base demands just punishment. Then he needs to let the  law  take 
its course. The shameful secrets of the past must get out drip by drip. Each 
day a new morsel must be released to be chewed up by the wolf pack. And each 
day the opposition must find itself defending something even more indefensible 
than the day before.
This is just what is happening to the GOP. You can see the desperation  in 
their faces. Not all Republicans are cowardly sociopaths like Hannity or 
Cheney. They are honorable men and women who happen to believe in a different 
political philosophy. They do not want to defend criminal behavior any more 
than  us.

The drip drip drip of daily scandalous revelations is the political equivalent 
of  Chinese water torture. We can see their responses become more irrational, 
more desperate.

The softest target of all is Cheney. In this, as in everything else, he is 
acting as a coward. For a man with so many shameful secrets to hide, he has 
made a major blunder by asking for more memos to be released.

Cheney has a history of cowardice and cracking under pressure. He got five 
deferments from getting drafted into the army during Vietnam. Cheney could not 
rebuff  criticism from the right wing for not invading Baghdad during the first 
Gulf war. While he was out of power, he seethed, scheming for a way to start 
another war  against Iraq, to finish the job. His  overreaction  to 9/11 is the 
root of the whole torture policy. Now, he is cracking again.

Cheney's best strategy right now is to hire a good lawyer and keep his mouth 
shut. But he is too scared to do that. His overreaction is  sucking all other 
Republicans into his own personal nightmare. He has enemies among the Bush 
administration alumni. Condoleeza Rice, no less culpable than Cheney, is 
sending her flacks out to defend her own record. Powell's former Chief of Staff 
is already on record pointing the finger at Cheney as the source of the torture 
program. Military men have a special contempt for Cheney, for getting them to 
do things that he would not himself.

This is the way the mafia was broken up. All organized criminal enterprises 
rely on the ability of its members to keep their mouths shut and their 
leadership to remain cool under pressure. When the leaders overreact and start 
to shoot at each other, the rank and file will start to blab.Their fear of the 
law exceeds their fear of bosses. As each one tries to save his skin, more and 
more crimes get revealed. The honorable members of the community to which the 
criminals belong  will organize to expel the evil. That is what Rudy Giuliani 
did to the NY mafia. It was Republican  Senator Howard  Baker who asked "What 
did the President know, and when did he know it?" during the Watergate 
hearings. He was among those who advised Nixon to resign.

Keep them  busy.  Let every GOP member of Congress explain why water-boarding 
is not torture. Why we are any better than China in the treatment of prisoners. 
Destroy their spirit, their belief in themselves. The issues that animate them 
(abortion, border security, taxes) will get pushed out of the news. Even their 
own talking heads will be stuck talking of the past, mired in the  minutiae of 
what happened back in May 2 2004.

It is the Republicans who can put an end to this.  Who will be the Howard Baker 
of the Waterboarding scandal? Who will step up first to condemn torture and 
admit that the whole program was a grievous mistake? Sen. McCain, we are 
looking at you.

The danger here is that the issues that matter to us will get pushed out too.  
This is our last chance to get Universal Health Care while  the baby boomers 
can still pay into the system. There are two wars going on, one of which can 
evolve into  an existential threat to American civilization. The economy has 
collapsed and needs immediate attention.As this storm is rages, Obama  needs to 
be focused on his reform agenda.

Carter had a similar  chance after Watergate. But he was not able to make 
radical enough changes in Government. Reagan deftly used the small window of 
opportunity available to him. There were no major scandals from  the previous 
administration to help him along though. Clinton got mired in minor 
controversies early on that slowed his momentum and never achieved the full 
potential of his considerable  political skills.  

Let that not happen. The trick is to use the torture scandal to pound the 
Republicans while at the same time getting our own  agenda through. Do not let 
one distract us from the other.   Obama must succeed or we are all in deep 
trouble.

Added Note Thanks for the Rec List! 
Changed the title to reflect more accurately what I think will wreck the GOP.

For Those Clamoring For Prosecutions Now: Once prosecutions start (grand juries 
convene), the release of memos will have to stop. Much better to keep the 
revelations coming. Let the shameful secrets hidden away in Cheney's files 
become common knowledge. There are enough violations of law here that some 
people will go to jail. I don't believe Cheney, Rumsfeld or Rice will, but some 
of their aides will.In time.  They  are already starting to point fingers at 
each other.

If you are still impatient for prosecutions to start: 
Remember what happened with Sen. Stevens. A prosecution that doesn't go exactly 
by the book will backfire. These guys will have the absolute best defense 
attorneys: Col. Oliver North and Sen. Stevens had the same guy. This is also 
why Congressional investigations are not the way to go. They  generate a lot of 
publicity, but Congress cannot force testimony without offering immunity. That 
is how Oliver North got away.

What Obama is doing is just the right thing. Drip Drip the memos out. Let the 
DOJ make its own independent decision on what is a crime worth prosecution. Let 
the rest of us spread the outrage. And keep up the pressure

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2009/4/25/724309/-Defending-Torture-Will-Wreck-The-GOP

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