There have been quite a few papers analyzing RfAs (mostly) on the
English Wikipedia, see e.g.:

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Newsletter/2012/March#How_editors_evaluate_each_other:_effects_of_status_and_similarity
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Newsletter/2012/January#Students_predict_connections_between_Wikipedians
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Newsletter/2011/September#How_social_ties_influence_admin_votes
- this also contains citations of earlier research on the topic.

And the authors of the present paper already published another one
about Polish Wikipedia RfAs in 2011:
https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Newsletter/2011/October#What_it_takes_to_become_an_admin:_Insights_from_the_Polish_Wikipedia

On Mon, Feb 18, 2013 at 9:30 AM, Everton Zanella Alvarenga
<[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Abstract:
>
> Wikipedia admins are editors entrusted with special privileges and
> duties, responsible for the community management of Wikipedia. They
> are elected using a special procedure defined by the Wikipedia
> community, called Request for Adminship (RfA). Because of the growing
> amount of management work (quality control, coordination, maintenance)
> on the Wikipedia, the importance of admins is growing. At the same
> time, there exists evidence that the admin community is growing more
> slowly than expected. We present an analysis of the RfA procedure in
> the Polish-language Wikipedia, since the procedure’s introduction in
> 2005. With the goal of discovering good candidates for new admins that
> could be accepted by the community, we model the admin elections using
> multidimensional behavioral social networks derived from the Wikipedia
> edit history. We find that we can classify the votes in the RfA
> procedures using this model with an accuracy level that should be
> sufficient to recommend candidates. We also propose and verify
> interpretations of the dimensions of the social network. We find that
> one of the dimensions, based on discussion on Wikipedia talk pages,
> can be validly interpreted as acquaintance among editors, and discuss
> the relevance of this dimension to the admin elections.
>
> Link: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s13278-012-0092-6
>
> From the conclusion:
>
> "[...] We have noticed the decreasing amount of successful admin
> elections and have formulated two hypotheses that could explain this
> phenomenon. Hypothesis A stated that new admins are elected on the
> basis of acquaintance of the voter and candidate. If this would be a
> valid explanation, we could conclude that the community of admins is
> becoming increasingly closed, which would be detrimental to the
> sustainable development of the Wikipedia.
>
> Hypothesis B stated that new admins are elected on the basis of
> similarity of experience in editing various topics of the voter and
> candidate. Since voters are other active admins whose experience
> increases with time, their thresholds of accepting a candidate are
> likely to increase (as has been observed from the simple statistics of
> RfA votings)."
>
> I would love to see this research on other Wikipedias.
>
> Tom
>
> --
> Everton Zanella Alvarenga (also Tom)
> "A life spent making mistakes is not only more honorable, but more
> useful than a life spent doing nothing."
>
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--
Tilman Bayer
Senior Operations Analyst (Movement Communications)
Wikimedia Foundation
IRC (Freenode): HaeB

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