See page 7 of Priedhorsky, R., Chen, J., Lam, S. T. K., Panciera, K.,
Terveen, L., & Riedl, J. (2007, November). Creating, destroying, and
restoring value in Wikipedia. In *Proceedings of the 2007 international ACM
conference on Supporting group work* (pp. 259-268).
http://reidster.net/pubs/group282-priedhorsky.pdf

They discuss the probability of a page view of Wikipedia containing
vandalism rising over time.  I wanted to replicate this analysis and extend
it past 2007 but I never got the chance.  I think the methodology is really
interesting though.

It doesn't directly answer the question but it does get at the *impact* of
vandalism.

On Mon, Jan 18, 2021 at 12:13 PM Isaac Johnson <[email protected]> wrote:

> To WSC's point about the difficulty of detecting such behavior or surveying
> at a point in which it would still be salient, I'd add that in general we
> have a large gap in our knowledge about why people choose to stop editing
> because almost all of our survey mechanisms depend on existing logged-in
> usage of the wikis. This is a challenge with many other websites too but
> it's generally easier to find and survey who, for instance, has left
> Facebook (example
> <
> http://socialmedia.soc.northwestern.edu/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/CHI2013-FBLL.pdf
> >)
> by collecting a random sample of people than it is to find and survey
> someone who was a former editor of Wikipedia. There were surveys that did
> ask about major barriers to editing (which presumably contribute to
> burnout) such as the 2012 survey:
>
> https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/8/81/Editor_Survey_2012_-_Wikipedia_editing_experience.pdf#page=17
> (see the editor survey category
> <https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Category:Editor_surveys> if you're
> looking
> for others)
>
> Some things that come to mind though:
>
>    - I suspect very few readers see vandalism in their daily browsing (as a
>    very frequent, long-term reader of English Wikipedia, I have trouble
>    recalling encountering any clear vandalism in the course of normal
>    reading). That said, I do suspect that most people have seen plenty of
>    stories of outlandish vandalism to Wikipedia -- some legitimate but many
>    more about vandalism that literally lasted minutes -- that may lead to
>    lower trust. Whether or not lower trust in Wikipedia leads to lower
>    readership is a separate question though. Jonathan Morgan ran some
> recent
>    surveys on reader trust and what factors affected it that might be
>    relevant:
>
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:The_role_of_citations_in_how_readers_evaluate_Wikipedia_articles#Second_round_survey
>    - Specifically in the context of harassment and gender equity:
>       - Harassment as barrier:
>
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Gender_equity_report_2018/Barriers_to_equity
>       - Edit summaries in particular as harassment:
>       https://www.elizabethwhittaker.net/wmf-internship (more details
>       <
> https://www.mediawiki.org/wiki/Wikimedia_Research/Showcase#July_2019>
>       )
>       - Annual Community Insights Reports often have a section on this --
>       e.g.,
>
> https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Community_Insights/Community_Insights_2020_Report/Thriving_Movement#Safe_and_Secure_Spaces
>       - 2015 Harassment Survey:
>       https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Harassment_survey_2015
>    - The body of work around barriers to newcomers might have some good
>    insights too -- e.g.,
>
> https://www-users.cs.umn.edu/~halfaker/publications/The_Rise_and_Decline/
>
>
> On Sun, Jan 17, 2021 at 5:44 AM WereSpielChequers <
> [email protected]> wrote:
>
> > Hi Amir,
> >
> > This is one of those areas of research where we really need the annual
> > editor survey. I think it ran once after the 2009/10 Strategy process,
> and
> > I don't know if the best questions got included.
> >
> > But the best  time to ask editors what prompted them to  start editing
> has
> > to be fairly soon after they started as memories fade. I once went back
> to
> > my early edits and the edit I remembered starting me editing barely made
> it
> > into my first 50.
> >
> > There is a longstanding theory that a lot of new editors start or started
> > to fix some vandalism that they saw, and that this group went into steep
> > decline a decade ago with the rise of Cluebot and other antivandalism
> tools
> > that work faster than a newbie could. But without an annual survey to ask
> > editors what prompted them to edit you are going to struggle to research
> > this. Of course you could look at the early logged in edits of
> > active/prolific wikipedians, but if it is true that many/most Wikipedians
> > start with some IP edits, the earliest edits of many Wikipedians won't be
> > available.
> >
> > Abuse one assumes has a differential effect on the targets of abuse,
> > disproportionately women, gays and ethnic minorities. But I'd be inclined
> > to look at stuff targeted at their user and usertalkpages rather than
> > talkpages and edit summaries, though an email survey of former editors
> > would be useful.
> >
> > My suspicion is that when we revert, block and maybe even revdel or
> > oversight abuse we assume that fixes the problem, and if we want to
> tackle
> > abuse we need more edit filters to prevent such abuse from going live.
> >
> > WSC
> >
> > On Sat, 16 Jan 2021 at 15:16, Amir E. Aharoni <
> > [email protected]>
> > wrote:
> >
> > > Hi,
> > >
> > > Is there any research about the effect of vandalism in wiki content
> pages
> > > on readers, experienced editors, and new and potential editors?
> > >
> > > And of abuse in discussion pages and edit summaries on experienced
> > editors
> > > and new and potential editors?
> > >
> > > Intuitively and anecdotally one could think of the following:
> > > 1. Vandalism in content pages (articles) wastes editors' and
> patrollers'
> > > time. This (probably) doesn't require proof (or does it?). But some
> > people
> > > say it also causes some experienced editors to burn out and leave. Is
> > there
> > > any data about it, beyond intuition?
> > >
> > > 2. Does vandalism *measurably* affect the perception of the wikis'
> > > reliability? (This may be wildly different in different languages and
> > > wikis.)
> > >
> > > 3. Abusive language on discussion pages and edit summaries affects
> > editors,
> > > and may cause them to reduce their editing, to stop editing about
> certain
> > > topics, or to leave the wiki entirely. Is this effect measurable? How
> > does
> > > it differ for various groups by gender, age, religion, country,
> > > professional and educational background, seniority at the wiki, etc.?
> > >
> > > Thanks! :)
> > >
> > > --
> > > Amir Elisha Aharoni · אָמִיר אֱלִישָׁע אַהֲרוֹנִי
> > > http://aharoni.wordpress.com
> > > ‪“We're living in pieces,
> > > I want to live in peace.” – T. Moore‬
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> > >
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>
>
> --
> Isaac Johnson (he/him/his) -- Research Scientist -- Wikimedia Foundation
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