Thomas Dalton schreef:
> I've been following the CZ statistics page for some time, and I get
> the feeling that it doesn't matter because activity on CZ is shrinking
> (even Sanger doesn't seem very active) and it will never reach a size
> where anyone actually uses it.

I've had a bit of an argument with him recently about the decline of CZ
(http://blog.citizendium.org/2009/02/04/write-a-thon-is-on-independent-notices/)
and he assured me that CZ has been growing exponentially, and will be
growing explosively, and that [[CZ:Statistics]] proved that.

> It's a fraction of the size of
> Wikipedia at the same age (in terms of articles or total words) and
> growth is slowing (whereas Wikipedia showed exponential growth at that
> time).

CZ is actually only about half WP's size at the same age, I think. I've
plotted the growth of both sites in number of words, and it is a
surpising difference. CZ started much larger than WP because they
imported a lot of WP articles[*], and then grew linearly. After a year,
both encyclopedias were the same size, but because of WP's exponential
growth, it is now outpacing CZ.

CZ's growth in number of words has only just begun to fall; its lack of
new authors has been a problem for a much larger time.

> We could discuss why it failed but I think the real answer is
> simply that Wikipedia is "good enough" so there is very little
> interest in a new project doing the same thing (and which won't be
> anywhere near as useful for several years, even with the more generous
> assumptions).

Could be. To succeed, a new encyclopedia will have to either have a very
dedicated team of authors, or find a specialistic niche (scholarpedia?),
or be useful from the start; perhaps by starting off with WP's entire
content. And I don't think we have seen WP's successor yet.

Eugene

[*] In fact, they imported all of Wikipedia. But I'm only counting the
articles they changed.

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