Seconding Galder in bringing this important research finding to wider
attention (CCing the Wiki-research list as well).

If I may, we also just covered this in the new Signpost with some
additional context and detail that some here might find interesting:
"Wikimedia Foundation reports 8% traffic drop since last year due to 'the
impact of generative AI and social media'"
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_Signpost/2025-10-20/In_the_media#Wikimedia_Foundation_reports_8%25_traffic_drop_since_last_year_due_to_%22the_impact_of_generative_AI_and_social_media%22>
.[1]

As mentioned there, the problem of quantifying the impact of generative AI
on Wikipedia readership has already attracted considerable attention by
academic researchers in the almost three years since ChatGPT launched. I
even think it's safe to say that many might regard it as one of the most
important research questions about Wikipedia and AI currently.[2]

However, the academic research publications about this - admittedly
difficult - topic have been a bit of a mixed bag so far
<https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Research:Newsletter/2025/March#So_again,_what_has_the_impact_of_ChatGPT_really_been?>.
(Even what I would regard as the best paper among these, which Mako and I
also chose to highlight in our annual "State of Wikimedia Research
2024-2025" talk at Wikimania this year, still has some potential statistical
shortcomings
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia_talk:Wikipedia_Signpost/2025-03-22/Recent_research#%22Wikipedia_Contributions_in_the_Wake_of_ChatGPT%22>.
And I am not aware of much peer-reviewed insight that goes beyond
the early-years ChatGPT.)

So it's great to see that the Wikimedia Foundation has now itself jumped
into this breach. It is evidently well positioned to do so. Not just
because it has potentially useful internal data that was not available to
the aforementioned external researchers (say referrer information
<https://wikitech.wikimedia.org/wiki/Data_Platform/Data_Lake/Traffic/Pageview_hourly>,
or now also the data derived from the unique reader cookies WMF introduced
earlier this year, which enable better but still relatively
privacy-friendly tracking of Wikipedia readers). But also e.g. because of
the foundational work <https://research.wikimedia.org/foundational.html> its
own researchers already did some years ago on "Detecting and Gauging Impact
on Wikipedia Page Views" (IMO a paper worth looking at for anyone
investigating such questions).

Unfortunately though, Marshall Miller's Diff post doesn't contain any
concrete information about the methodology used to causally attribute the
drop to those two factors, nor any links to further details. Can we expect
the underlying statistical analysis to be published soon? It would also be
interesting to know e.g. each factor's share in this 8% drop (is it say 7%
from AI vs. 1% from social media, or vice versa?) Or, to circle back a
little towards Galder's points, whether different Wikipedia languages were
affected differently, etc.

Regards, Tilman


[1[ Alongside a somewhat related story
<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Wikipedia_Signpost/2025-10-20/In_the_media#Elon_Musk_announces_AI-based_%22Grokipedia%22_to_challenge_Wikipedia>
about
a certain well-known US entrepreneur trying to replace Wikipedia with a new
AI-based encyclopedia, also mentioning some similar but less well-known
efforts.
[2] For some reason though, this central research question didn't make it
into the list
<https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Artificial_intelligence/Bellagio_2024> of
research directions about the implications of AI for the knowledge commons
that was drafted at the February 2024 Bellagio symposium convened by the
Wikimedia Foundation. But as we heard recently on this mailing list
<https://lists.wikimedia.org/hyperkitty/list/[email protected]/thread/YI5KUYTCCYTTEISGM3APGXYMQUVFAZNM/#5CPAYECG7XQ5NXVUJ3VODJGLWBFV2NBS>,
the WMF research department is still working on getting a fuller
documentation of that event's outcomes ready for publication. (At that
point we will hopefully also see an attempt to solicit wider input on this
draft agenda, from other researchers and the editor community, the latter
appearing particularly relevant as the project's stated purpose is to
convey "vital questions volunteer contributors have raised").  And in any
case, it or some of its colleagues have evidently now tackled this research
question themselves.


On Mon, Oct 20, 2025 at 11:46 PM Galder Gonzalez Larrañaga <
[email protected]> wrote:

> Dear wikimedians,
> I recommend reading the very interesting diff post by Marshall Miller
> about new user trends on Wikipedia:
> https://diff.wikimedia.org/2025/10/17/new-user-trends-on-wikipedia/. The
> post talks about two main trends affecting our views: AI summaries and
> video consumption by new generations. We don't have a good solution about
> the first one, but I would like to talk about the second one, because in
> the Basque Wikimedians User Group we have been working on this for some
> years now, and I think our experience can be part of the solution.
>
> Five years ago we detected this trend and saw that, while there was a rise
> on educative/informative videos for learning, those videos were mainly done
> in English or hegemonic languages. Students and teachers were using videos
> more than ever, but those videos weren't free nor in Basque. That's why we
> created the platform Ikusgela on wiki and external media channels (Wiki
> platform: https://eu.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atari:Hezkuntza/Ikusgela, other
> links to social media and video platforms there)
>
> After four years creating videos we have nearly 250 free educative videos
> in Basque, many of those subtitled in other languages. We cover topics from
> philosophy to evolution, from literature to basic science. And now we are
> publishing an average of 2 new videos per week. We are now working on two
> new series about migrations/rights and linguistics. The videos have
> received the highest award in the Basque Country for communications and are
> used now in education by teachers in many schools and MOOCs. More than 540
> articles in Wikipedia have a video from Ikusgela available, with many more
> to come this school year.
>
> Making good quality videos is expensive, and we are making this in our own
> with our funding and from competitive grants. However, once the videos are
> made, remaking those in other languages should be cheaper. Building the
> videos together is also cheaper than doing it alone. If your chapter or
> user group is interested on that, let me know and we can make things
> together.
>
> We, Basque Wikimedians, saw how this trend was coming and worked to take
> advantage from it, instead of seeing how it decreases our relevancy. I hope
> efforts from the WMF and other affiliates can go in the direction of
> multimedia soon.
>
> Best,
>
> Galder
>
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