Dear all,
we're currently building a template for Zika-related articles (cf.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Template:Zika ), and I could imagine
some of these - e.g. those on the earlier Zika outbreaks - may be
useful for training the models.
Cheers,
Daniel

On Mon, Feb 22, 2016 at 11:11 PM, Priedhorsky, Reid <rei...@lanl.gov> wrote:
> Insufficient data in epidemiological sources. Basically, we need fairly
> decent time series incidence data over a few years in order to train the
> models; this isn’t available for Zika, just case reports here and there.
>
> The expert on our team is Ashlynn Daughton: “[T]here’s been a small amount
> of surveillance of Zika
> (http://www.eurosurveillance.org/images/dynamic/ET/V19N02/V19N02.pdf).
> French polynesia and other islands had an outbreak in 2013 and it sounds
> like there are *some* reports (pg. 50). There’s also sporadic mentions of
> imported Zika from travelers from Africa or Asia (e.g. See pg 54). But there
> hasn’t been anything as systematic, or comprehensive as there is now.”
>
> HTH,
> Reid
>
> On Feb 19, 2016, at 10:29 AM, Dan Andreescu <dandree...@wikimedia.org>
> wrote:
>
> Thanks, Reid.  When you say there's insufficient data history, do you mean
> in other sources?  Zika was discovered in 1947 and the wiki page for it was
> built in 2009.  We have high quality geolocated data since May 2015.
>
> I'm still doing research (I admit the distractions at the foundation have
> gotten in the way, I apologize for that).  I hope to get back to it with
> renewed force this weekend.
>
> On Fri, Feb 19, 2016 at 11:30 AM, Priedhorsky, Reid <rei...@lanl.gov> wrote:
>>
>> We do have more work in progress to extend the 2014 paper, in particular
>> to mosquito-borne diseases in a Spanish-speaking country, though not Zika
>> because there is insufficient data history.
>>
>> I appreciate the pointer. Are there any specific questions folks would
>> like me to address in this thread?
>>
>> Thanks,
>> Reid
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