Harondel,

You're not addressing Bernie's point. You see thousands and assume not
only that they are representative of a larger group but that this group
would be disinterested in greater broadband speeds. I look at TiVo
recently topping 3 million active subscribers and World of Warcraft
reaching 6 million active subscribers and notice two things:

1) These are just a single example, albeit the most popular, of their
respective products.
2) Enhancements to these products, when relevant to transfer speeds,
have always involved increasing the bandwidth requirements.

Certainly, the populations overlap, but there are a lot more
applications out there and a lot more being invented all the time. The
"large" numbers are already here and how many of your thousands will
join one of these populations tomorrow. I doubt you will claim none of
them will make a switch. Look at cell phone adoption rates to see how
quickly something can go from being rare to common. Consider the US
government's aims, http://www.telework.gov/. It isn't hard to imagine
legislators turning 100K into several million off-site workers with
little effort. A balance will eventually have to be reached, but we
aren't even close to satisfying the unrealized demand that is out there
with the current broadband offerings.

Francis R Harvey III
WB 303, (301)294-3952
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

> -----Original Message-----
> From: Windows Home/SOHO 
> [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Harondel J. Sibble
> Sent: Monday, May 22, 2006 3:30 PM
> To: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: Internet: Beware of broadband speed overkill
> 
> On 22 May 2006 at 12:10, Bernie Cosell wrote:
> 
> > No, I think you overestimate the significance of your tiny 
> sample set.
> 
> No actually she doesn't, I do consulting and working with 
> thousands of 
> clients yearly, Diane is quite correct in her statements.
> 
> I live in Vancouver, BC, Canada and we have some of the best 
> choices in 
> internet service. There's LOTS of competition and lot's of 
> selection from 
> cheap consumer connections at $25/month up to expensive enterprise 
> connections at $2k-$5k/month for up to 30mb full duplex.  
> Dealing with lots 
> of CEO's and such, many don't even have highspeed at home, 
> heck some don't 
> even have computers in their home.
> 
> > Right, and you conclude that "folk who don't watch TV' is a 
> significant 
> > sample set and extrapolate from that, rather than consider 
> that they 
> > might be very-far-removed outliers.
> 
> I suspect the non-tv watchin group is MUCH smaller than the 
> non-highspeed 
> internet access group. 
> 
> > We only disagree on the magnitude of 'large' -- look at how 
> many blogs 
> > there are, and how many folk flock to myspace and its ilk.  
> Yes, there 
> 
> > Obviously ourMMV on this, but I think that betting on 
> "large numbers of 
> > folk being content with low bandwidth connections" is a losing 
> > proposition.  
> 
> Well considering that the VAST majority of the human 
> population on this 
> planet don't have access to electricity, let alone a computer or the 
> internet, your comment on the magnitude of "large" looks 
> pretty small ;-)
<snip>

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