The 24dBi antennas in use have about a 7 degree beam width (3db down
  points).  If refraction effects at 2.4 GHz suggest a deviation from
  line-of-sight of, say, 20 degrees, then a second pair of antennas
  would be useful. If the prediction is beam bending of 5 or 10
  degrees, then pointing the primary antenna pair a few degrees off
  LOS would be fine.

I haven't done the math, but I would be surprised if the direction of
signal arrival changed appreciably over a 5 mile path relative to a 7
degree beamwidth unless there was a massive statified change in the
air mass.  In this case, the signal might not be getting out of the
valley at all.  But, to calculate this sort of thing, you need a
vertical profile of pressure, temperature and humidity.  Are you
sending up weather balloons to get this?  You can try to find nearby
NWS data, but you are likely to have your own microclimate given your
description of the terrain.

Do you have signal strength vs time data for the link?  A plot of that
would be most illuminating, especially correlated with weather ballow
data from NWS, or even time of day.

  Yesterday, a D-Link Internet camera was mounted behind an optical telescope
  and pointed along the microwave beam path. I am hoping to correlate some
  visible phenomena with the RF link problems.

Visible and RF have very different refraction behavior, so if for
example you are getting severe ducting at 2.4GHz you probably won't
see much different in the visible.  (Note that with all the discussion
of DX contacts via ducting no one in California is seeing Hawaii in
the visble).  The basic reason is that the index of refraction of air
for visible is a not function of the water vapor content.  For RF,
water vapor content is very important.  The "4/3" radio horizon rule
of thumb is based on the refractive index lapse rate for a standard
atmosphere (with moisture).

There is good coverage of this subject in the RSGB Microwave Handbook,
Vol II (I think - from memory).  This seems to be out of print,
replaced by a single-volume book called the "International Microwave
Handbook": http://www2.arrl.org/catalog/?item=8739

-- 
        Greg Troxel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
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