> Please tell me what's wrong about my analysis below.  The basic
    > conclusion is that regulators are making a terrible mistake by
    > not requiring ILECs to construct and sell dark fiber to end users.

While I'm in basic sympathy with your goal, and I spend a fair amount of
time trying to liberate some of the 24 strands of SBC-owned fiber in my
prem, there are some regulatory goals which wouldn't be served by a really
simple implementation of the model you're suggesting.

One of the big regulatory goals is to keep cars moving on the roads,
rather than just backhoes.  That means that street-digging permits need to
be issued sparingly.  In a country less wealthy than the U.S., digging the
same street multiple times _simply can't be afforded_ by anyone making
rational decisions on behalf of national (or even just municipal)
interest.  Does that need to hamper competition on those only-dug-once
paths?  Not at all...  Look at the model that isn't yet being implemented
in Kabul, or which was done mostly-cleanly in Auckland....  Require that
whoever does dig the street put in enough facilities for themselves _and_
all of their present and future competitors, with the excess going into a
"fiber bank" that bids against the first holder for any fiber sales on
that path, to keep prices in check.

Now, you can't implement a model like that unless all the runs in the
"bank" can be crossconnected.  That means that you should continue to use
a "wire center" hub-and-spoke distribution model.  So far so good.

But if individual end-users (at the consumer level) start asking for
home-runs to their ISPs, now your crossconnect facilities get really
out-of-hand.  Aside from it just being phenomenally inefficient use of the
fiber resource, relative to a packet-switched model.

So I tend to like the Wellington or Kabul models better than the Palo Alto
model...  Fits better with our Ethernet-at-L2/IP-at-L3 world-view, and
makes more efficient use of the precious resource, which is PROW
disruption and the associated time/labor.

                                -Bill


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