My comment: We all have to praise and apreciate his contribution to
unveil the current trends and risks of current models and the light
that he tries to put at the end of the tunnel, not a solution but a
way to find a way out to geographical and human inequalities.

Here is his interiew (5 mins) and his lecture (44 mins.)

http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/krugman-lecture.html

Peace and best wishes.

Xi


Press Release
13 October 2008

International Trade and Economic Geography

Patterns of trade and location have always been key issues in the
economic debate. What are the effects of free trade and globalization?
What are the driving forces behind worldwide urbanization? Paul
Krugman has formulated a new theory to answer these questions. He has
thereby integrated the previously disparate research fields of
international trade and economic geography.

Krugman's approach is based on the premise that many goods and
services can be produced more cheaply in long series, a concept
generally known as economies of scale. Meanwhile, consumers demand a
varied supply of goods. As a result, small-scale production for a
local market is replaced by large-scale production for the world
market, where firms with similar products compete with one another.

Traditional trade theory assumes that countries are different and
explains why some countries export agricultural products whereas
others export industrial goods. The new theory clarifies why worldwide
trade is in fact dominated by countries which not only have similar
conditions, but also trade in similar products – for instance, a
country such as Sweden that both exports and imports cars. This kind
of trade enables specialization and large-scale production, which
result in lower prices and a greater diversity of commodities.

Economies of scale combined with reduced transport costs also help to
explain why an increasingly larger share of the world population lives
in cities and why similar economic activities are concentrated in the
same locations. Lower transport costs can trigger a self-reinforcing
process whereby a growing metropolitan population gives rise to
increased large-scale production, higher real wages and a more
diversified supply of goods. This, in turn, stimulates further
migration to cities. Krugman's theories have shown that the outcome of
these processes can well be that regions become divided into a high-
technology urbanized core and a less developed "periphery".

Brief information
Modelling Trade in a World of Plenty

In a remarkably succinct, ten-page article published in 1979, Paul
Krugman proposed a new trade model that changed the way economists
view the international exchange of goods. At the heart of the model
lay two concepts that reflected the general twentieth century trend
towards having more: the increased production of goods, leading to
economies of scale, and increased diversity of products, leading to
greater choice for consumers. Krugman's model better reflected the new
pattern of international trade that had developed in a world where
less certainly wasn't more.

His model sought to explain the situation in which countries that are
similar benefit by producing and trading in similar goods. Thus, cars
are manufactured in France, Germany and Italy, with each country
benefiting from the economies of scale delivered by mass production,
and the citizens of each country benefiting from the increased choice
that arises from having a global motor industry. Previous trade models
had emphasized the importance of the differences between countries,
with international trade being based on the production of different
materials in each country to fulfil unmet needs in others. Krugman's
development of a rigorous framework for describing the real world
situation formed the basis for an explosion of subsequent analysis.

The 1979 paper in the Journal of International Economics also sowed
the seeds of an analysis of the forces driving increased urbanization.
In his core-periphery model, which he developed properly in a 1991
publication, Krugman describes the opposing pressures that act on
populations: those that serve to pull them into the core (urban)
centres and those that work to push them out into the peripheral
(agricultural) areas. For example, one such factor is the cost of
transport, and the generally decreasing transport costs seen in the
twentieth century have served to pull production, and populations,
into urban centres. Once again, Krugman's formulation of a robust
model provided the apparatus that allowed a thorough exploration of
the factors driving the global distribution of production facilities,
and of the urbanization that is such a prevalent feature of the modern
world.
By Adam Smith, Editor-in-Chief, Nobelprize.org


First published 20 October 2008

Information for the Public
http://nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economics/laureates/2008/info.html


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