My comment: Probably we have watched the fifth war of the 21st.
century that, within few decades, will be called the last useless war
of the 20th. century. Let me explain why.

Psychologists tell that, in all fields of life, absolute power uses to
produce sort of fantasies into its victim, being the victim the one
who believes to own such supreme power. The fantasy is that one can
exercise that total power without negative consequences, without
paying a price for that exercise. Then, such power becomes abusive,
tyranic and self-rightheous. As the victim lives in a fantasy, it is
unable to perceive how it is paying the price and how its power is
declining step by step.

Suddenly the patient starts to perceive such decline and fears appear.
The victim tries to feed its fantasy back exercising its abusive,
tyranic and self-righteous power harder and harder. Obviously,
negative consequences are bigger and bigger. Here is the negative
spiral that accelerates the collapse of such power. In Israel and in
USA, governments feel the need to feed their citizens with a certain
sense of superiority to get rid of their fears for a while. But fears
come back shortly, stronger. In fact what they fear is peace, and
revenge from the other victims. Palestinian rockets feed those fears.
Israeli action feeds the supremacy fantasy. Israeli government must
convince its citizens of its victory, as Hamas must show Israeli
citizens that they have good reasons to feel fear, if Hamas wants to
continue its strategy.

Most people around the world including in Israel, in Palestine and in
USA, know that the current situation will not last forever. Everybody
knows that empires do not last forever. Even in Israel and in USA,
even if they are in the feedback phase of the sickness (Obama election
is a sign of "clearvoyance"). Because many reasons, such as economy,
social stability, psychologic wellbeing, etc. USA cannot stay in Iraq
and in Afghanistan forever (in fact it cannot sustain its military
complex much longer unless Americans accept poverty as their fate),
Israel cannot sustain a military state (meaning a defense oriented
state rather than one oriented to development) that grants its
military superiority forever. Then what?

Then, the answer is always peace. As usual, one reaches peace talking
with enemies. Producing mutually beneficial agreements, balancing and
driving all domestic and external forces toward real goals (as
opposite to sick fantasies). After the Israeli attack to Gaza, is
Israel closer to a balanced and peacefull situation? Obviously it is
not. Its claim of victory in that situation is empty, it is just
propaganda to feed a fantasy back. As much as USA in Iraq or
Afghanistan.

On the other side. Everybody knows that Hamas military capabilities
are not and will never be enough to defeat Israeli army. Its claim of
military victory is as empty as the Israeli one. Deeper inside what
they really claim is "they could not destroy us", and this is
perceived as victory. Somehow it is a victory of course, but, except
fantasisers in Israel and USA, did anyone believe before this war that
Israel could destroy Palestine or Hamas? In my opinion, Hamas answers
to fantasisers, and its answer is what fantasisers fear the most. Is
it a winning strategy? No if your goal is peace, development and
sovereignty as soon as posible. But it obviously gained a huge
victory. Its taichi strategy during this war (do not stop your enemy,
use its own force and drive it to its ultimate goal as soon as
posible) has convinced all that Hamas, or a Hamas-alike, is needed to
reach a stable peace.

I do not talk about Abbas´s "friendly" strategy as it is out of
context. Just a comment, to reach real peace we need talks between
honest and true "enemies", not among fake friends.

Conclusion. Within a few weeks, when everyone get rid of passions and
fantasies, we will see the real victories and the real defeats. An
army can start a campaign, can destroy as much as possible, can kill
thousands and finally it has to return home with empty hands and
nothing else. Oops, and weaker, economically, politically, morally,
psychologically, socially, etc.

In my opinion, that is the 21st. century in Iraq, in Afghanistan, in
Somalia, in South Ossetia, in Gaza. And anywhere else where fantasies
are in command. Only honest and down to earth peace seekers win. Let
us hope that they give peace a real chance before all other options
have already failed.

Peace and best wishes.

Xi

Peace returns to Gaza with pullout of Israeli troops
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-01/19/content_10682699.htm

GAZA, Jan. 19 (Xinhua) -- A hard-won peace was restored in the Gaza
Strip Monday as Israeli troops began pulling out of the belt after
their 22-day onslaught was halted by a tentative ceasefire deal with
Hamas.

    The truce, taking effect at 2 a.m. local time (midnight GMT)
Sunday, was declared late Saturday by Israeli Prime Minister Ehud
Olmert, who said the goals of the operation in Gaza had been "met in
full."

  "We reached all of our objectives in Gaza," Olmert told a press
conference in Tel Aviv, adding Hamas had been dealt a heavy blow by
the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) and its leaders were in hiding.

    The truce took effect just days before the inauguration of U.S.
President-elect Barack Obama, who has said Mideast peace will be
apriority for his administration.

    In response to the ceasefire declaration, United Nations Secretary-
General Ban Ki-moon urged a quick influx of humanitarian aid to the
isolated enclave, while U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said
a ceasefire must be durable.

    Amid concerns over possible future Palestinian attacks, Israel is
widely expected to retain some forces in Gaza. The returning troops
were stationed along the border, said local news service Ynet.

    Hamas had initially vowed to keep fighting until all enemy troops
left Gaza, but said 12 hours later that it would hold its fire to give
Israeli forces one week to withdraw.

    Despite the destruction suffered, the prime minister of Hamas,
Ismail Haniyeh, claimed "a heavenly victory" on Al-Jazeera's Arabic
news channel.

 It is believed that a temporary lull would pave the way for a
possible lasting truce deal between the Jewish state and the Islamist
movement in light of the intensifying international mediation efforts
led by Egypt.

    Egypt has invited Israel and the Palestinian groups for more talks
on the means of consolidating a ceasefire in the Palestinian enclave.

    Separate meetings with the two sides involved in the Gaza conflict
were scheduled for Jan. 22 in the Egyptian capital of Cairo, Egyptian
Foreign Ministry spokesman Hossam Zaki said in a press release.

    The talks will seek to clinch a deal on a package of moves to
implement an Egyptian ceasefire proposal presented by President Hosni
Mubarak on Jan. 6.

    While Hamas has asked for the lifting of the Israeli blockade on
Gaza as a precondition for any long-term truce, Israel demands an
international mechanism to curb arms smuggling into Gaza and thus
prevent Hamas from rearming.

    More than 1,300 Gazans have been killed and over 5,500 wounded in
Israel's massive onslaught since Dec. 27, dubbed Operation CastLead.
Thirteen Israelis have also died in the clash.

    Speaking to the leaders of Britain, France, Germany, Italy, Spain
and the Czech Republic, which currently holds the rotating EU
presidency, in Jerusalem on Sunday, Olmert thanked them for their
support for Israel's security and pledged cooperation to bring peace
to the volatile land.

    British Prime Minister Gordon Brown urged Israel to reopen the
crossings to long-blockaded Gaza, saying a sustainable ceasefire would
require "humanitarian access" to the territory, while French President
Nicolas Sarkozy called on Olmert to open Gaza's borders to aid as soon
as possible.

    Meanwhile, Iran said the key to lasting calm is the opening of
border crossings that Israel and Egypt have kept virtually sealed
since Hamas militants staged a violent takeover of Gaza in 2007 from
forces of the rival Fatah faction, headed by Palestinian President
Mahmoud Abbas.

    Statistics from the Palestinian side revealed that about 4,000
residential buildings were completely destroyed during the 22-day
conflict.

Hamas re-controls Gaza after 22 days of Israeli offensive
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-01/19/content_10684337.htm

Has Israel achieved its goals in Gaza? It depends.
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2009-01/19/content_10685223.htm
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