China Told Container Lines to End ‘Zero Rates,’ Li Shaode Says http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=aIypsIET7uY0
March 6 (Bloomberg) -- China told local container lines to stop offering “zero rates” after plunging demand and rising capacity pushed shipping fees to unprofitable levels, according to Li Shaode, president of China Shipping (Group) Co. The government acted after rates sank to as low as zero, excluding fuel costs and other charges, on routes including China-Japan, Li said today in Beijing. He didn’t say whether China Shipping had offered “zero rates.” China Shipping Group’s container-line arm, the nation’s second-biggest cargo-box carrier, also plans to raise China-Europe fees from next month, Li added. A.P. Moeller-Maersk A/S, the world’s largest container line, Evergreen Marine Corp. and Neptune Orient Lines Ltd. have also announced plans to raise charges after shipping lines parked hundreds of vessels to reduce capacity. Demand has slumped as U.S. and European consumers pared spending on Asian-made goods amid the global recession. “Shipping lines can no longer afford to offer these low rates,” said Li. “The shipping lines and clients should cooperate and communicate to survive the downturn together. It’s what the government encourages companies to do.” China Shipping Container Lines Ltd. isn’t due to receive any new vessels this year, he added. Dry-Bulk Rates In terms of commodity-shipping rates, Li said he expects the Baltic Dry Index to post a “temporary rebound” before fluctuating at low levels amid the global recession. The index plunged 92 percent last year as China’s waning growth sapped demand for imports of iron ore and other commodities. “We hope the economic crisis will abate soon and that rates can recover,” Li said. China Shipping Group operates dry-bulk vessels through its China Shipping Development Co. unit. To safeguard against fluctuations in rates, the group has formed shipping ventures with steelmakers Baosteel Group Corp. and Shougang Corp., Li said. The company is also in talks on further ventures, he added. Shipping lines will also benefit from the government stimulus plans for the shipping sector and for the steel industry, he added. The government also working on the details for logistic-sector stimulus plans, he said. China has announced a 4 trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus to help revive the nation’s sagging economic growth. China Shipping Group will also press ahead with plans to inject more assets into listed units, Li said. The next target will likely be the group’s logistics operations, he added, declining to say which unit would receive it. China Shipping Container agreed to purchase its parent’s terminal-operating unit last year. On 13 feb, 16:01, "[email protected]" <[email protected]> wrote: > My comment: I cannot foresee that official prediction, 8% growth for > 2009. My bet is still 6% - 7%, at least, right now. Despite some think > tanks from other universities are predicting 9% for 2009. > > I think that, with Saudia cooperation, most countries in Asia and, in > particular in the ASEAN and the Middle East, will leave this crisis as > soon as in 2009. In my opinion, probably, China will leave it in early > 2010. But we are already in the third phase of the U, we left the > bottom behind us. That matters. Now, we have to intensify cooperation > with the ASEAN to make them leave the crisis as soon as posible. > > Peace and best wishes. > > Xi > > China’s Economy Shows Signs of Recovery on Stimulus > > http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=ackHHxtWoFHc&refe... > > Feb. 13 (Bloomberg) -- China’s economy is showing signs that a 4 > trillion yuan ($585 billion) stimulus package is taking effect. > > The world’s third-biggest economy may expand 6.6 percent in the second > quarter after slowing to 6.3 percent in the three months to March 31, > the weakest pace since 1999, according to the median estimates of 14 > economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. > > China is trying to reverse an economic slide that has already cost 20 > million jobs, raising the risk of social unrest as exports plunge and > the property market sags. Spending on roads railways and housing has > increased prices for iron ore, put a floor under industrial output and > helped to drive a record $237 billion of new loans in January. > > “China looks set to be the first major economy to recover from the > current global meltdown,” said Lu Ting, an economist with Merrill > Lynch & Co. in Hong Kong. “China is the only economy in the world to > see significant growth in credit to corporate and household sectors > after September 2008, when the financial crisis worsened to a near > collapse.” > > The government’s stimulus plan, announced in November, is beginning to > gather momentum. Projects such as the building of 3.5 billion yuan of > public houses in Shaanxi province and Shanghai began in December, > while Shandong province started work on three new railway lines the > same month. > > China is committing about 1.2 trillion yuan of central government > funds to the plan, which means banks’ willingness to fund projects is > crucial. So far they are responding. > > Toxic Assets > > The value of new loans in January was more than double the record set > a year earlier, according to figures released by the People’s Bank of > China yesterday. > > The lending multiplies the effect of the government’s spending in ways > that wouldn’t be possible in the U.S. and Europe, where banks are > burdened by toxic assets, said Dwyfor Evans, a strategist with State > Street Global Markets in Hong Kong. > > While China is the only one of the world’s three biggest economies > still growing, the expansion has slowed from 13 percent in 2007 and 9 > percent last year. > > Growth will accelerate from the current pace to 7.2 percent for the > full year, according to Wang Qian, an economist with JPMorgan Chase & > Co. in Hong Kong. Her calculation is that consumption will contribute > 4.4 percentage points and investment 4 percentage points. The collapse > in exports will slice off 1.2 percentage points. > > Stimulus spending will contribute up to 3 percentage points of the > total, she estimates. > > Global Recession > > Even if the global recession is protracted, China has the ammunition > to maintain growth, said Merrill Lynch’s Lu. It has public debt of > only 18.5 percent of gross domestic product -- compared with 75 > percent in India -- foreign currency reserves of $1.95 trillion, and a > balanced budget. > > “China has perhaps the deepest pockets in the world,” said Lu. “It can > relentlessly ramp up spending to create jobs and meet its growth > target.” > > The government-backed Purchasing Managers Index, a measure of > manufacturing, showed a second monthly increase in January after a > record low in November. > > “The economy is bottoming,” said Tao Dong, chief Asia economist at > Credit Suisse AG in Hong Kong, citing the PMI, the surge in bank > lending, and spending on construction and machinery because of the > infrastructure projects. > > Some commodity prices signal a tentative recovery may be under way, as > Chinese companies rebuild inventories. > > Iron Ore, Steel > > China’s imported iron ore has climbed 28 percent to 690 yuan per > metric ton since the end of October. Hot-rolled steel has surged 41 > percent from Nov. 13 to 4,027 yuan per metric ton. The Baltic Dry > Index, a measure of shipping costs for commodities, has more than > doubled since Jan. 28. > > “You are starting to see the underlying demand of the Chinese > economy,” BHP Billiton Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Marius Kloppers > said Feb. 4. “We have seen in the steel business in China that the de- > stocking cycle is almost complete and that means people are coming > back into the market and buying.” > > BHP Billiton is the world’s third-largest producer of iron ore. China > is its largest consumer. > > Coca-Cola Co., the world’s largest soft-drink maker, said yesterday > that sales volume rose 29 percent in China in the fourth quarter after > the company sponsored the Beijing Olympic Games. McDonald’s Corp., the > world’s largest restaurant company, said Feb. 11 that it may > accelerate expansion plans in Asia to boost market share as the > region’s economies slow. > > Shares Climb > > Investors are also showing a renewed interest. China’s stock > transactions rose to the highest in at least three years on Feb. 11. > The Shanghai Composite Index of stocks has climbed about 36 percent > from last year’s November low, gaining 3.2 percent today on optimism > that government spending will bolster corporate earnings. > > Still, any recovery will be modest as weakness in real estate adds to > the problem of the collapse in trade, and the surge in loans increases > credit risks for banks, economists say. > > Exports fell by the most in almost 13 years in January, imports > plummeted by a record 43 percent, and house prices across 70 major > cities declined by the most since data began in 2005, according to a > government report yesterday. > > Companies fired workers at a faster pace in January than in December > and most businesses faced tougher conditions, said Stephen Green, a > Shanghai-based economist at Standard Chartered Bank. “Less bad news is > not good news,” he said. > > Even if stimulus spending creates 8 percent growth this year, meeting > the government’s target, “it will unlikely be healthy, job-creating > growth” because mostly it will boost demand for steel and cement and > provide little support for consumption, said Green. > > The World Bank said yesterday that China had made little progress in > rebalancing the economy toward consumption and services from industry > and investment. > > Economists’ estimates for China’s GDP growth from a year > earlier: > > 1Q 2Q 2009 > Action Economics 6.4 5.9 6.0 > BNP Paribas 6.3 7.6 7.7 > BoCHK 7.8 8.0 8.0 > Citigroup 5.8 6.7 7.6 > Credit Suisse 7.1 7.6 8.0 > Daiwa 5.6 6.2 6.3 > Deutsche 6.3 6.7 7.0 > JPM Chase & Co. 5.8 5.6 7.2 > Macquarie 6.4 6.5 7.0 > Merrill Lynch 6.6 7.2 8.0 > Moody’s Economy.com 6.0 6.3 7.0 > Nomura International 7.0 7.5 8.0 > SJS Markets 3.0 4.25 5.0 > UBS AG 5.8 6.0 6.5 --~--~---------~--~----~------------~-------~--~----~ You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "World-thread" group. 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