-------------------------
Via Workers World News Service
Reprinted from the Dec. 26, 2002
issue of Workers World newspaper
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Anti-war forces on alert

BUSH SEEKS PRETEXT FOR UNPOPULAR WAR

By Deirdre Griswold

Signs of disarray in the U.S. capitalist system and its political
leadership are piling up, even as the Bush administration continues with
its adventurous course toward a new onslaught against Iraq.

Another huge company--Conseco--filed for bankruptcy on Dec. 17. This
insurance and financial giant is the third-largest corporation ever to
seek Chapter 11 reorganization. A good part of the debt it handles is
mobile-home mortgages. The company's failure is a sure sign that many
poorer workers are unable to pay their bills.

The forcing out of Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill and Bush's chief
economic adviser, Larry Lindsey, has not restored the "confidence" of
Wall Street in the economy or the stock market.

Unemployment has jumped to 6 percent.

States are cutting social programs to the bone as declining tax
revenues-
-the rich are virtually exempt now--tip their budgets into the red. This
means many more layoffs to come.

The racist roots of the political system in the U.S. are showing once
again in the Trent Lott scandal.

Around the world, the U.S. is seen as a rogue state on everything from
the environment to threats of endless war.

And what is the Bush administration doing about all this?

The cabal in the White House has a single focus: It is moving inexorably
toward launching its long-planned war against Iraq. Everything is being
subordinated to that.

CREATING A PRETEXT FOR WAR

As this is written, the National Security Council has just met. The
media expect Bush to announce that Iraq has not adequately answered
questions about its weapons--despite the 12,000 pages of documentation
it submitted to the UN and its agreement to allow UN inspectors access
to all its facilities.

This is the strategy that Washington has been honing for months now.
Agree to having the UN send inspectors to Iraq, but then preempt them
with a unilateral judgment that the Iraqis have "fooled" the inspectors
and concealed "weapons of mass destruction" and/or the capacity to
produce them.

Bush's real goal is a war to conquer and occupy Iraq as a key step in
gaining unchallenged domination over the oil-rich Middle East. He has
found it difficult, however, to line up support in the world or among
the people of the U.S. for "regime change." So the excuse has turned to
"disarming" Iraq--a country whose capacity for self-defense has been
flattened ever since the Gulf War.

It should not be ruled out that the hawks in Washington may engineer
something even more dramatic in the way of a pretext to justify their
buildup to war.

When it will start cannot be predicted, but tens of thousands of
military personnel, a huge amount of planes, ships, weapons and other
war materiel continue to be rushed to the Gulf area. It is known that
the military consider the weather in January the most favorable for an
attack.

The U.S. and Britain, which once held colonial sway over much of the
Middle East, including Iraq, have just organized a conference of Iraqi
puppets in London. This motley bunch is to form the core of a "free"
Iraqi government--in other words, a fig leaf for U.S. military
occupation once the Pentagon has blasted its way into Baghdad.

MASS OPPOSITION KEEPS GROWING

Meanwhile, the opposition to this war among the people in the United
States and around the world continues to grow. A huge national
demonstration will rally and march in Washington on Jan. 18, called by
the ANSWER coalition, which organized the largest U.S. protests to date
on Oct. 26. Local actions are taking place almost every day.

Tens of millions of people are questioning why this government is hell-
bent on a war that will cost hundreds of billions of dollars when it
claims there is no money to stem the rising tide of suffering at home.

>From the point of view of weaponry, the war hawks are Goliath. No one in
the world has anything like their awesome firepower. But they are a
small band of outlaws in the eyes of 95 percent of the world's people.

The strategy of the Bush cabal is to keep the mass opposition off
balance by seeming to cooperate with the United Nations in a
multilateral approach to the "problem" of Iraq, while at the same time
feverishly preparing for a war of aggression. They hope that as the
inspections drag out, the perception that this process will avoid war
will restrain the mass anti-war movement.

Addressing this, the ANSWER coalition put out a statement on Dec. 17
that concluded, "It is urgent that the anti-war movement not be lulled
into a false sense of optimism because Iraq and the UN are cooperating.
Various governments are reporting that they are hopeful that the
inspections process can help avoid war. UN Secretary General Kofi Annan
went out of his way to say that war is not inevitable.

"However, the extent to which the world is voicing cautious optimism
about a peaceful solution is also the extent to which the Bush foreign
policy team is racing to dash all hope for such an outcome. There is now
an almost perfect inverted ratio between the worldwide clamor for
restraint and peace and the Bush administration's eagerness to publicly
announce that war is certain.

"There is really only one restraint that can block the war. It lies
within the people themselves. Neither Congress nor the Security Council
will stop Bush's dangerous war drive. The optimism of the anti-war
forces must be premised on reality. If we can mobilize the millions--in
the U.S. and around the world--and ignite a firestorm of activism, then
the political climate can be changed, and changed dynamically."

In the stodgy halls of Congress, the political climate seems frozen in a
bourgeois time warp. But on the streets, momentum is gathering for
bigger and better struggles. n

- END -

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