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*Numsa Response to SARB’s Monetary Policy Committee*

*15 May 2011*

The National Union of Metalworkers of South Africa (*Numsa*) has noted the
Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) statement issued by the Reserve Bank on
Friday 12 May 2011. Unsurprisingly, the MPC‘s stance on maintaining
inflationary figures within the targeted range has not changed.

According to the MPC, the inflation outlook continues to deteriorate, with
the year-on-year inflation rate in urban areas increasing to 4.1% in March
2011; up from 3.7% in February. The main drivers behind this increasing
inflation rate are the significant price increases that have been
experienced in fuel, electricity and food. Food inflation has increased by a
significant 1.6% just in the last two months while petrol and electricity
prices have increased by a whopping 16.9% and 19.3% respectively.

These increases in the prices of goods which feature prominently in the
basket of goods demanded by workers, only serve to put more pressure on
workers’ wages, which are already severely constrained. Numsa therefore
challenges the insinuation madeby the MPC that unit labour costs and
increases, by virtue of being marginally above inflation, are contributing
to the unfavourable employment environment, and by extension, to the slow
economic growth. These increases come off a very low base, and workers are
still forced to live hand to mouth, even after these meagre increases have
been effected.

While Numsa is encouraged by the MPC’s decision to keep interest rates
unchanged, we maintain that this approach is too conservative given the
increased cost pressures on the incomes of all South Africans.The Reserve
Bank has to begin moving towards a policy stance which focuses on supporting
job creation and improved living standards. Instead, the MPC boldly
continues to insist that they will not hesitate to respond to signs that
threaten to move inflation out of the targeted range.  Numsa believes that
this short-sightedness and inflexibility by the MPC only serves to further
undermine the broader government economic growth objectives.

Numsa reiterates its call for the nationalisation of the Reserve Bank in
sync with our objectives of building a new economic trajectory geared
towards building people’s economy for people’s power.

Contact:

*Neo Chabane, NUMSA Chief Economist – 083 762 0185*

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