*2012 ANC National Policy Conference Discussion Document*
/_Problematisation and opening to discussion_/
**
**
*The Second Transition (T2T)*


The new ANC Policy Conference Discussion Document called "*The Second Transition*" (T2T) is part-successor to the long series of ANC documents called "Strategy and Tactics" (S&T). The other part-successor is the new "Organisational Renewal" document.

Strategy is the definition of a goal. Tactics are the various possible means to that end. Does the ANC have a goal anymore? If not, then what is T2T?

The original "Strategy and Tactics" document was passed by the ANC National Conference in Morogoro, Tanzania, in 1969. Its first paragraph was:

/"The struggle of the oppressed people of South Africa is taking place within an international context of transition to the Socialist system, of the breakdown of the colonial system as a result of national liberation and socialist revolutions, and the fight for social and economic progress by the people of the whole world."/

In 1969, the ANC knew where it was, and where it was going. Is this still the case in 2012? Among other things, the Morogoro S&T went on to say:

/"The art of revolutionary leadership consists in providing leadership to the masses and not just to its most advanced elements... /
//
/"...we must also ensure that what is brought to power is not an army but the masses as a whole at the head of which stands its organised political leadership.../
//
/"In the last resort it is only the success of *the national democratic revolution* which - by destroying the existing social and economic relationships - will bring with it a correction of the historical injustices perpetrated against the indigenous majority..."/

Revised versions of "Strategy and Tactics" were adopted at the 48^th and 50^th ANC National Conferences. At the 51^st , a new preface was added. The current version of S&T was adopted at the 52^nd National Conference, at Polokwane. The T2T and Organisational Renewal document pick up from that version.

The new T2T document wants to be a "watershed" like the Morogoro S&T document adopted 43 years ago. But is there really a "second transition" to be had? T2T only seeks to confirm the Polokwane S&T and turn it into a "30 to 50", or even a 100-year commitment. How is this a second transition? A centenary is only a number. Of itself, it does not generate an organic change.

At its start, T2T identifies itself with SA's National Development Plan (NDP) although this is only a draft that has not yet been adopted. The NDP has serious weaknesses. On the surface it is apolitical. But underneath its surface the NDP is incremental to the /status quo/. It is class-collaborationist. The NDP does not recognise class struggle as the motor of history. The NDP does not recognise that development is a class struggle, with winners and losers.

The adoption of such a semi-permanent, bourgeois-biased programme by the ANC would stress the class-alliance nature of the ANC, by frustrating its working-class components and locking them into a bourgeois project that will not suit them.

This is not the way the ANC was built. The unity-in-action class alliance which is the essential ANC, depends upon leaving the socialist option open. The ANC does not have to be socialist, but it cannot destroy the possibility of socialism.

*_Structure of the Document_*

After its introduction, the T2T document proceeds in six main parts. These are:

. Part A: Reflections on the last 18 years (13-49)
. Part B: Characterisation of the National Democratic Society (50-70)
. Part C: The balance of forces in 2012 and the motive forces (71-112)
. Part D: The global balance of forces (113-160)
. Part E: Thoughts on the content and form of the Second transition (161-206) . Part F: The pillars of national democratic revolution in the current phase (207-223)
*__*
*__*
*_Parts of the T2T Document_*
**
*Part A*is a policy review of the period from 1994 to 1012, including Gear and several changes to the ANC S&T.

*Part B*dwells upon the essence of the Polokwane (2007) S&T: the adoption of the static term "National Democratic Society" (NDS) in exchange for the dynamic term "National Democratic Revolution" (NDR).

This change has the potential of blocking the aspirations of the working class. The class alliance that is the substance of the liberation movement, meaning the ANC itself, is based on unity-in-action for common interest. The working class interest in the ANC and its NDR is that the NDR opens the road to socialism. If that road is blocked, then the working-class investment in the ANC becomes questionable.

*Part C*consolidates the other major change that was introduced into the S&T in 2007-- the redefinition of the class-defined "motive forces" to include the monopoly bourgeoisie. It goes further, descending from class analysis into the /ad hoc/ eclecticism of the NPC "diagnostics" at paras *104/5*. The "Second Transition" here looks more like a U-turn.

*Part D*appears to start more "left", reminiscent of the first paragraph of the Morogoro S&T. But as in Part C, the criticism of capitalism is soon called into question. At paragraph *123*, the anti-communist propagandist of capitalism Ludwig von Mises is quoted without disapproval. This section becomes a ramble, without point except perhaps to obscure.

*Part E*switches back again to the NPC and its "diagnostic", this time critically. In e.g. paragraph *182* it finds "fundamental" contradiction between the NDP and the ANC's SIMS. At paragraph *192* it asks why "developmental state" is being replaced by "capable state", and warns against causing "confusion with a plethora of terms or by introducing concepts that may well be in conflict with existing ANC policy." This argument can equally apply to the term "NDS" replacing "NDR".

*Part F*, called "overarching", tries to describe a static NDS, to last a hundred years. At paragraph *222* it proposes the resolution of the National Question, but without mentioning socialism.

But the ANC's organised working-class allies are convinced that there will be no solution to the national or the gender questions without socialism. The working-class allies will not accept the arbitrary postponement of socialism for a hundred years, or even for twenty years. They will insist on that option remaining open.

Class analysis does not drive this document. The authors have attempted to weaken the legacy of class analysis in ANC strategy and tactics. Yet class struggle still remains the motor of history, and the idea of human development is inseparable from the idea of bringing class struggle towards its conclusion, so that:

/"In place of the old bourgeois society, with its classes and class antagonisms, we shall have an association in which the free development of each is the condition for the free development of all."/

These words from the Communist Manifesto, written by Karl Marx and Frederick Engels in 1848, remain the most succinct expression of the true meaning of development, as well as socialism.


1156 words

Original "Second Transition" document: 22661 words.

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*VC*

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