NEO.jpg

 

 

Russian Warplane Down:

 

NATO's Act of War

 

Despite blatant provocation, Russia must continue toward the finish line

 

 

Tony Cartalucci, New Eastern Outlook, Moscow, 24 November 2015

 

With cameras rolling, Turkey has claimed it has shot down a Russian Sukhoi
Su-24 attack aircraft. The New York Times in its article, "
<http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/25/world/europe/turkey-syria-russia-military
-plane.html?_r=0> Turkey Shoots Down Russian Warplane Near Syria Border,"
reports that:

 

Turkish fighter jets on patrol near the Syrian border shot down a Russian
warplane on Tuesday after it violated Turkey's airspace, a long-feared
escalation that could further strain relations between Russia and the West.

 

The escalation is "long feared" not because the Turkish government actually
fears that Russian warplanes crossing their border pose a threat to it or
its people, but because Russia has ended NATO's proxy war, a proxy war
spearheaded in part by Turkey itself, amid Russia's joint military
operations with Syria against the self-proclaimed "Islamic State" (ISIS) and
supporting terrorist factions.

 

In addition to having a camera rolling as the plane went down in flames,
terrorists operating in region had allegedly surrounded the dead pilot
shortly after the incident
<http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/11/24/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-id
USKBN0TD0IR20151124#kmA7eWaPdjoD1jqP.97> according to Reuters.

 

Rumjancev.jpg

 

While Turkey maintains that it was only reacting in self-defense (or perhaps
in defense of terrorists it is sponsoring) - it was against a nation's
planes that it knew had no intention of attacking its territory - and what
looks like instead was Turkey targeting planes operating along reoccurring
routes and shooting one down once the pieces were in place to maximize the
event politically.

 

Russia Continues Toward the Finish Line 

 

In recent weeks with Russian air support, Syrian troops have retaken large
swaths of territory from ISIS, Al Qaeda, and other terrorist fighters. The
Syrian Arab Army (SAA) has even begun approaching the Euphrates River east
of Aleppo, which would effectively cut off ISIS from its supply lines
leading out of Turkish territory.

 

>From there, Syrian troops would move north, into the very "safe zone" the US
and its Turkish partners have long-sought but have so far failed to
establish within Syria's borders. This "safe zone" includes a region of
northern Syrian stretching from Jarabulus near the west bank of the
Euphrates to Afrin and Ad Dana approximately 90-100 kilometers west.

 

Once Syrian troops retake this territory, the prospect of the West ever
making an incursion into Syria, holding territory, or compromising Syria's
territorial integrity would be lost forever. Western ambitions toward regime
change in Damascus would be indefinitely suspended.

 

The endgame is at hand, and only the most desperate measures can hope to
prevent Russia and Syria from finally securing Syria's borders. Turkey's
provocation is just such a measure.

 

Russia's time, place, and method of retaliating against Turkey is something
only the Kremlin will know. But Russia's actions upon the international
stage have been so far thoroughly thought out, allowing Moscow to
outmanoeuvre the West at every juncture and in the wake of every Western
provocation.

 

I Stand With Russia.jpg

 

For Turkey's government - one that has been consistent only in its constant
failure regarding its proxy war against its neighbour Syria, who has been
caught planning false flag provocations to trigger wider and more direct war
in Syria, and whose government is now exposed and widely known to be
directly feeding, not fighting ISIS - the prospect of Russian retaliation
against it, either directly or indirectly, and in whatever form will leave
it increasingly isolated.

 

Until then, Russia's best bet is to simply continue winning the war. Taking
the Jarabulus-Afrin corridor and fortifying it against NATO incursions while
cutting off ISIS and other terrorist factions deeper within Syria would be
perhaps the worst of all possible retaliations. With Syria secured, an
alternative arc of influence will exist within the Middle East, one that
will inevitably work against Saudi and other Persian Gulf regimes' efforts
in Yemen, and in a wider sense, begin the irreversible eviction of Western
hegemony from the region.

 

The West, already being pushed out of Asia by China, will suffer
immeasurably as the world dismantles its unipolar international order,
region by region.

 

As in the game of chess, a player often seeks to provoke their opponent into
a series of moves. The more emotional their opponent becomes, the easier it
is to control the game as it unfolds. Likewise in geopolitics and war,
emotions can get one killed, or, be channeled by reason and superior
strategic thinking into a plan that satisfies short-term requirements but
serves long-term objectives. Russia has proven time and time again that it
is capable of striking this balance and now, more than ever, it must prove
so again.

 

.    Tony Cartalucci, Bangkok-based geopolitical researcher and writer,
especially for the online magazine  <http://journal-neo.org/> "
<http://journal-neo.org/> New Eastern Outlook". 



From:
<http://journal-neo.org/2015/11/24/russian-warplane-down-natos-act-of-war/>
http://journal-neo.org/2015/11/24/russian-warplane-down-natos-act-of-war/

 

Graphics are taken from other web sites

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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