Moon of Alabama.png

 

 

Syrian Kurds Risk Their Gains - Why?

 

 

"b", Moon of Alabama, 16 March 2016 (part)

 

.the Kurds are in a decent position. They have military support from the
U.S. as well as Russia and the Syrian government has agreed to give them
some form of autonomy.

 

It would have been smart of the Kurds, led by the Syrian Kurdish Democratic
Union Party (PYD), to bag these achievements and to stay out of the way of
the further process. The Russians can be trusted to take care of the Kurdish
interests in Geneva. But in typical Kurdish fashion they try to go for more
and overreach:

 

A powerful Syrian Kurdish political party announced plans Wednesday to
declare a federal region in northern Syria, a model it hopes can be applied
to the entire country. The idea was promptly dismissed by Turkey and also
the Syrian government team at U.N.-brokered peace talks underway in Geneva.

 

The declaration was expected to be made at the end of a Kurdish conference
that began Wednesday in the town of Rmeilan in Syria's northern Hassakeh
province.

 

The Kurds already have autonomy and there were only few, if any, clashes
with the Syrian government. There is no need for them to unilaterally
federalize some parts of Syria. There is nothing to win with a
federalization that no one else will recognize. To demand federalization now
is like opening a can of nasty worms just the moment everyone set down to
have a nice meal.

 

Even worse:

 

Tensions are high in the Al-Qamishli District today, as the Kurdish
"Assayish" forces surround the National Defense Forces (NDF) at the
Al-Qamishli security box. Reports from the Al-Qamishli District claim that
the Assayish forces have arrested several NDF fighters in what is expected
to be their expulsion from northern Syria. 

...

The Al-Qamishli District is ethnically diverse, with Kurds, Assyrians,
Armenians, and Arabs all living in this densely populated region.

 

The Assayish Forces will have their hands full if they attempt to seize all
of the government-controlled area because the Assyrian "Gozarto Protection
Forces" (GPF) are heavily armed and make-up one of the largest militias in
the Al-Hasakah Governorate.

 

So just as everyone is calming down and working on a political solution the
Kurds throw a wrench in the works and start a new fight with Syrian
government forces.

 

I do not understand such thinking. Whatever the future political situation
in Syria will be, the Kurds will not gain a viable independent state. The
Turks hate them and are instigating new schemes against them by supporting
their own splinter Kurdish proxy group. The Barzani mafia in north Iraq does
not like the PKK/YPK Kurds at all. Neither Russia nor the U.S. will promise
them any long term (financial) support. Whatever they try, the Kurds will
continue to depend on the capabilities and monies of a Syrian nation state
with the capitol in Damascus. They do not have any income source. Attempts
to export oil would be blocked by its neighbors and their borders cannot be
secured without heavy weapons. 

 

Why upset the Syrian government and its armed forces when the gains made so
far are still reversible?

 

I can think of no sound reason for the Syrian YPG Kurds to do this now. But
it may well be that someone in Washington (or elsewhere?) thought that it
would be funny to upset the playing board by pushing the Kurds to take these
self-defeating steps. But why would the Kurds agree to do this?

 

 

From:
http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/03/syrian-kurds-risk-their-gains-with-new-
federalization-demands.html#more

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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