http://www.business-standard.com/common/storypage.php?leftnm=lmnu5&subLeft=1&autono=99912&tab=r

Will the fat lady sing?

Business Standard / New Delhi July 31, 2006



If newspaper reports of Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's meeting with
representatives of CII-Assocham on their affirmative action report are
to be believed, the immediate crisis in terms of the threat to
implement a law requiring private sector firms to reserve jobs along
caste lines may have blown over. The statements attributed to the
Prime Minister certainly suggest that, and the ministers known to be
in favour of private sector job quotas have not dismissed the
CII-Assocham plan as eyewash, which is an encouraging sign. The
related problem, of pressure to increase reservation in educational
institutions, may also have been staved off for the time being with
the Veerappa Moily Oversight Committee submitting its interim report
to the Prime Minister as well as to the human resource development
ministry—the panel has reportedly recommended that institutions be
allowed to expand their student base (only after this can reservations
be extended) at their own pace, without lowering standards, and asked
for a huge step-up in government expenditure on education (at Rs
20,000 crore, it is nearly five times the 10th Plan allocation for
higher education).


But since the ways of the government are not something you bet your
shirt on, the question of whether the reservations ghost has been
exorcised will depend upon whether the Congress party chief thinks the
government's social change agenda is complete or not, and whether
there is electoral mileage to be gained by forcing the issue.
Depending on the conclusions reached, there is still the danger that
holes will be picked in the CII-Assocham proposal—and doing that will
not be a difficult task. Industry, for instance, has made much of its
plan to mentor 100 Scheduled Caste/Scheduled Tribe entrepreneurs every
year, and to provide coaching to 10,000 students from the same
categories in the first year, going up to 50,000 by 2009. From the
perspective of organised private sector industry (whose total
employment is only a few million), these are substantial numbers to
commit to. But from the national perspective, when 28 per cent of the
population belongs to the SC/ST category, the numbers are very small.
But that in a way points to the fallacy in approaching the employment
issue from the perspective of organised industry. Nor does the
proposal address the question of job reservations for the Other
Backward Castes, which is where the current controversy began.


The other question is whether there are any penalties if industry
fails to deliver what it promises. The answer is probably none, since
the entire exercise is semi-voluntary. Given that the other industry
chamber, Ficci, has already said the government will first have to
ensure there is adequate bank credit for such SC/ST entrepreneurs, it
is entirely likely that industry will cite government inaction to
justify its own failure to deliver on various fronts. None of which is
to say that it is industry's responsibility, or failure, to fix the
problem of economic and social backwardness. Indeed, it has been this
newspaper's view that the government has to solve the problem, and
this can be done only by ensuring larger participation of SC/ST/OBC
children at the school stage, not by reservations in colleges or in
jobs. Hard data from the National Sample Survey make this crystal
clear. But if industry is not in a position to openly challenge the
government's attempt to foist its social agenda on industry's
shoulders, and hopes to gain time by promising such action as it feels
capable of committing to (like publishing the number of SC/ST
employees in a company's annual report), this is a game that can
service only a limited time objective. After that, the issue will
return.




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