http://cities.expressindia.com/fullstory.php?newsid=221610

D in Doaba stands for Dalits

Anju Agnihotri Chaba

Jalandhar, February 9: The Dalit factor can play an important role in
Doaba region, which has about 33 per cent voters from the caste.

Bhujan Samaj Party (BSP) supremo Mayawati has also been doing rallies
here to strengthen her base as split in the party had made it weak as
compared to the 1997 elections. Former BSP leader Pawan Kumar Tinu,
who had a following among the Dalits, had left the BSP and joined the
Bhujan Kranti Party and former BSP candidate Devi Das Nahar, who
fought 2004 Lok Sabha elections on the BSP ticket, too floated a new
party, BSP Ambedkar.






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Weakening of the BSP may benefit the Congress, which has always
remained dependent on the Dalit voters. But the presence of Mayawati
in Doaba in the last phase of election campaign could create trouble
for the Congress candidates in Phillaur, Nakodar, Jalandhar
Cantonment, Adampur, Sham Chaurasi, Mahilpur, Nawanshahr, Garhshankar
and Phagwara.

If Mayawati's magic casts a spell even on two to three per cent Dalit
voters, it may cause a big dent in the vote bank of the Congress. In
Kartarpur constituency, where sitting Congress minister Chaudhary
Jagjit Singh is facing a tough fight from SAD candidates, may face a
difficult time.

The Balmiki community, which has 21,012 voters in Kartarpur, accused
the minister of getting all benefits under the reserved category for
the Ravidasi community.

Political observers said in the last two elections, the BSP candidates
got 10,000 to over 20,000 votes on various seats, including Jalandhar
(South), Phillaur, Adampur and Kartarpur, and if one per cent increase
takes place in this vote bank, it would be a loss to the Congress.

A veteran politician said the BSP has become quite weak due to
divisions, and this may benefit the Congress. But it can still eat
into the Congress vote bank on some seats.

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