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Column

It looks like 1967, but with a big difference

Inder Malhotra |

Contributing my mite to the avalanche of comments on Mayawati's
momentous victory — contrary to all "expert" expectations — in UP's
historic Assembly election, let me begin with a confession. It seems
that the time machine has leapt back four decades and we are where we
were in 1967, though with a very important difference. In the fourth
general election in that year, the Congress had retained a relatively
small majority in Parliament but lost the Assemblies of all eight
northern states, and — please forgive me for repeating this — one
could travel all the way from Calcutta (now Kolkata) to Amritsar
without having to traverse a single inch of Congress-governed
territory.

Read more hard-hitting columns

To be sure, today anyone going from West Bengal to Punjab's holy city
would have to pass through Delhi and Haryana, which are currently
under Congress rule, but that is a minor matter. The profound
difference between then and now is that 40 years ago, everybody knew
that the cacophonic, all-embracing coalitions, from the extreme left
to the communal right, that had replaced the Congress were bound to
collapse under the weight of their own contradictions. And so they
did. Indira Gandhi, then busy dividing the Indian National Congress to
put the party bosses in their place, won back most of these states.
Where the electorate did not oblige, there was the governor, acting
under the most misused Article 356 of the Constitution.

This time around, the Leftists are firmly entrenched in West Bengal.
So is Biju Janata Dal, with the BJP playing a second fiddle in Orissa.
Nitish Kumar, also with the saffron party playing a secondary role, is
firmly in the saddle in Bihar. Consequently, the meaning of Mayawati's
massive majority in UP should be clear even to the meanest
intelligence.



In fact, the main reason why the Bahujan Samaj Party leader has
prevailed so decisively is that she alone understood the need for a
change in attitude and strategy in changing circumstances.

No one could have forgotten that her (and her mentor, the late Kanshi
Ram's) original slogan was tilak, tarazu aur talwar — the reference
being to Brahmins with caste marks on their foreheads, the Bania
trading caste, and the sword-swinging Rajputs — unko maro jotee char
(they should all be given shoe-beating four times)." How far she has
come since then! Her party and its members who took the oath as
ministers on Sunday are a rainbow coalition of Dalits, Brahmins,
Banias, Muslims and others. The sheer dimension of this change is
mind-boggling.

By contrast all her major opponents — the outgoing ruling party, the
Samajwadi, the BJP and the Congress — remained mired in the outdated,
archaic, mindset that caste, indeed the mobilisation of a single
caste, would do the trick, with some help from crime and cash. Those
that remain so imprisoned in the dead past are bound to lose the
future, as we have seen.

There is one crucial distinction between Mayawati's style of choosing
her candidates and that of other parties. It is no secret that in the
past she is known to have virtually "auctioned" the seats she was
confident of wining, which is something other parties and their
leaders also do. But her strong point is that, despite her towering
stature, she does take into account the sentiments of her followers.
The constituency has some say in the choice of its candidate. All
other parties, taking a cue from the Congress in the Fifties, are
holding fast to the "principle" of choosing all candidates from one
corner of the country to the other only at the party's central
headquarters in New Delhi. This is not democracy, but negation of it.

Remarkably, all exit and opinion polls on TV channels — unanimous in
predicting a "hung House" in Lucknow — gave the second position to the
BJP. What has actually happened is that the outgoing ruling party, SP,
has retained the second position while the saffron party's present
strength has plummeted to nearly half of its previous one. An
important reason for this is the disgraceful compact disc (CD) that it
first issued as election propaganda, later tried to disown but not
condemn, and eventually deplored it when it was too late. It is worth
applauding that the voters of UP have rejected not only hate-filled
Hindutva, but also the United Front some regressive Muslim
organisations had hurriedly rigged up.

In a day and age when the bulk of political parties are "family
businesses," it stood to reason that the Congress should have relied
on Rahul Gandhi as their ace, if not the sole, campaigner. Its belief
that his charisma would boost the party's fortunes was badly belied.
Instead of capturing 40 or even 45 seats, it has lost three seats out
of its measly tally of 25 in 2002, and its share of vote has dwindled
to just over eight per cent, despite the competitive hype and hoopla
made by TV channels over his "road show." In other words, the present
performance of Congress' "future hope" is nothing to write home about,
notwithstanding his unnecessary boast of his "family" having "broken
Pakistan into two." There is nothing to show that either this, or his
declaration that the Babri Masjid would never have been demolished had
a Gandhi been at the helm at that time has made any impact on the
Muslim vote. Of the superlatives a host of Congressmen, including
Union Cabinet ministers, are using about him, the less said the
better.

An account of the UP elections cannot be complete without taking note
of the deflation of Bollywood bigwigs constantly supporting the
Samajwadi Party regime, and the manifest panic among the crony
capitalists who have made hay while the sun shone on the Mulayam
Singh-Amar Singh duo. At the same time, it is altogether typical that
the Centre's income-tax authorities raided some of the wealthy backers
of the Samajwadi Party just a day before the counting of the votes.

Moneybags and politicians may be inseparable. But couldn't the
greatest icon of the Indian cinema refrain from propagating misleading
TV ads, making out Mulayam's UP to be the epitome of lawfulness?


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