http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/30/books/review/Leonhardt-t.html


November 30, 2008
Chance and Circumstance
By DAVID LEONHARDT

OUTLIERS

The Story of Success.

By Malcolm Gladwell.

Illustrated. 309 pp. Little, Brown & Company. $27.99
In 1984, a young man named Malcolm graduated from the University of
Toronto and moved to the United States to try his hand at journalism.
Thanks to his uncommonly clear writing style and keen eye for a story,
he quickly landed a job at The Washington Post. After less than a
decade at The Post, he moved up to the pinnacle of literary
journalism, The New Yorker. There, he wrote articles full of big ideas
about the hidden patterns of ordinary life, which then became grist
for two No. 1 best-selling books. In the vast world of nonfiction
writing, he is as close to a singular talent as exists today.

Or at least that's one version of the story of Malcolm Gladwell. Here
is another:

In 1984, a young man named Malcolm graduated from the University of
Toronto and moved to the United States to try his hand at journalism.
No one could know it then, but he arrived with nearly the perfect
background for his time. His mother was a psychotherapist and his
father a mathematician. Their professions pointed young Malcolm toward
the behavioral sciences, whose popularity would explode in the 1990s.
His mother also just happened to be a writer on the side. So unlike
most children of mathematicians and therapists, he came to learn, as
he would later recall, "that there is beauty in saying something
clearly and simply." As a journalist, he plumbed the behavioral
research for optimistic lessons about the human condition, and he
found an eager audience during the heady, proudly geeky '90s. His
first book, "The Tipping Point," was published in March 2000, just
days before the Nasdaq peaked.

These two stories about Gladwell are both true, and yet they are also
very different. The first personalizes his success. It is the
classically American version of his career, in that it gives
individual characteristics — talent, hard work, Horatio Alger-like
pluck — the starring role. The second version doesn't necessarily deny
these characteristics, but it does sublimate them. The protagonist is
not a singularly talented person who took advantage of opportunities.
He is instead a talented person who took advantage of singular
opportunities.

Gladwell's latest book, "Outliers," is a passionate argument for
taking the second version of the story more seriously than we now do.
"It is not the brightest who succeed," Gladwell writes. "Nor is
success simply the sum of the decisions and efforts we make on our own
behalf. It is, rather, a gift. Outliers are those who have been given
opportunities — and who have had the strength and presence of mind to
seize them."

He doesn't actually tell his own life story in the book. (But he lurks
offstage, since he does describe the arc of his mother's Jamaican
family.) Instead, he tells other success stories, often using the
device of back-to-back narratives. He starts with a tale of individual
greatness, about the Beatles or the titans of Silicon Valley or the
enormously successful generation of New York Jews born in the early
20th century. Then he adds details that undercut that tale.

So Bill Gates is introduced as a young computer programmer from
Seattle whose brilliance and ambition outshine the brilliance and
ambition of the thousands of other young programmers. But then
Gladwell takes us back to Seattle, and we discover that Gates's high
school happened to have a computer club when almost no other high
schools did. He then lucked into the opportunity to use the computers
at the University of Washington, for hours on end. By the time he
turned 20, he had spent well more than 10,000 hours as a programmer.

At the end of this revisionist tale, Gladwell asks Gates himself how
many other teenagers in the world had as much experience as he had by
the early 1970s. "If there were 50 in the world, I'd be stunned,"
Gates says. "I had a better exposure to software development at a
young age than I think anyone did in that period of time, and all
because of an incredibly lucky series of events." Gates's talent and
drive were surely unusual. But Gladwell suggests that his
opportunities may have been even more so.

Many people, I think, have an instinctual understanding of this idea
(even if Gladwell, in the interest of setting his thesis against
conventional wisdom, doesn't say so). That's why parents spend so much
time worrying about what school their child attends. They don't really
believe the child is so infused with greatness that he or she can
overcome a bad school, or even an average one. And yet when they look
back years later on their child's success — or their own — they tend
toward explanations that focus on the individual. Devastatingly, if
cheerfully, Gladwell exposes the flaws in these success stories we
tell ourselves.

The book's first chapter explores the anomaly of hockey players'
birthdays. In many of the best leagues in the world, amateur or
professional, roughly 40 percent of the players were born in January,
February or March, while only 10 percent were born in October,
November or December. It's a profoundly strange pattern, with a simple
explanation. The cutoff birth date for many youth hockey leagues is
Jan. 1. So the children born in the first three months of the year are
just a little older, bigger and stronger than their peers. These older
children are then funneled into all-star teams that offer the best,
most intense training. By the time they become teenagers, their random
initial advantage has turned into a real one.

At the championship game of the top Canadian junior league, Gladwell
interviews the father of one player born on Jan. 4. More than half of
the players on his team — the Medicine Hat Tigers — were born in
January, February or March. But when Gladwell asks the father to
explain his son's success, the calendar has nothing to do with it. He
instead mentions passion, talent and hard work — before adding, as an
aside, that the boy was always big for his age. Just imagine, Gladwell
writes, if Canada created another youth hockey league for children
born in the second half of the year. It would one day find itself with
twice as many great hockey players.

"Outliers" has much in common with Gladwell's earlier work. It is a
pleasure to read and leaves you mulling over its inventive theories
for days afterward. It also, unfortunately, avoids grappling in a few
instances with research that casts doubt on those theories. (Gladwell
argues that relatively older children excel not only at hockey but
also in the classroom. The research on this issue, however, is
decidedly mixed.) This is a particular shame, because it would be a
delight to watch someone of his intellect and clarity make sense of
seemingly conflicting claims.

For all these similarities, though, "Outliers" represents a new kind
of book for Gladwell. "The Tipping Point" and "Blink," his second
book, were a mixture of social psychology, marketing and even a bit of
self-help. "Outliers" is far more political. It is almost a manifesto.
"We look at the young Bill Gates and marvel that our world allowed
that 13-year-old to become a fabulously successful entrepreneur," he
writes at the end. "But that's the wrong lesson. Our world only
allowed one 13-year-old unlimited access to a time-sharing terminal in
1968. If a million teenagers had been given the same opportunity, how
many more Microsofts would we have today?"

After a decade — and, really, a generation — in which this country has
done fairly little to build up the institutions that can foster
success, Gladwell is urging us to rethink. Once again, his timing may
prove to be pretty good.

David Leonhardt is an economics columnist for The Times.


Also see:

http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2008/10/20/081020fa_fact_gladwell?currentPage=all


http://socialcapital.wordpress.com/2008/05/20/malcolm-gladwells-new-book-the-outliers/

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