Islam Can Vote, if We Let It

  By SAAD EDDIN IBRAHIM
  New York Times May 21, 2005
  http://nytimes.com/2005/05/21/opinion/21ibrahim.html
    
(Saad Eddin Ibrahim, chairman of the Ibn Khaldun Center for
Development Studies and a scholar at the Woodrow Wilson Center in
Washington, is a candidate for president of Egypt)


Cairo

IN last month's Saudi Arabian municipal elections, the nation's first
experiment in real democracy, many were worried because Islamic
activists dominated their secular rivals. Indeed, we have seen a
similar trend in Turkey, Morocco and Iraq in the last few years; and
we can expect it in the coming Lebanese, Palestinian and Egyptian
elections. Yet, while this Islamic trend can no longer be ignored,
neither should it be a source of panic to Western policy makers and
pundits.

Based on my 30 years of empirical investigation into these parties -
including my observations of fellow inmates during the 14 months I
spent in an Egyptian prison - I can testify to a significant evolution
on the part of political Islam. In fact, I believe we may be
witnessing the emergence of Muslim parties that are truly democratic,
akin to the Christian Democrats in Western Europe after World War II.

To understand this evolution, one must look at how the Islamists rose
to such prominence. Autocratic regimes in the Middle East have for
decades allowed little public space to those who would build civil
societies; no freedom of speech, assembly or association. The only
space for people to congregate without harassment by the secret police
was the mosque. Thus, unwittingly, the autocrats contributed to the
growth of the theocrats, who became their mirror images.

Taking advantage of the rulers' economic and political failures at
home and their setbacks on battlefields, the theocrats made compelling
cases for their own visions. And through their great efforts in
providing services to the poor, they evolved first into de facto
social workers and then into local politicians, eventually taking
control of cities like Algiers and Oran in Algeria, and Istanbul and
Ankara in Turkey.

Seen as efficient and uncorrupt, these Islamists began to gain in
popularity even among secularists and won parliamentary pluralities in
Algeria in 1991 and in Turkey 11 years later. (In Algeria the
Islamists were not allowed to enjoy the fruits of their victory thanks
to a Western-condoned military coup.) Today, some two-thirds of the
estimated 1.4 billion Muslims in the world live under democratically
elected governments in which Islamists are major players - with
Indonesia, Bangladesh and Morocco joining Turkey as bright spots.

Clearly, on grounds of principle and pragmatism, Westerners should not
be dismayed at the thought of allowing religious parties a role in the
emerging political structures of the Arab world. For one thing, as
citizens, Islamists are entitled to the same basic rights as others.
It would therefore be hypocritical to call for democracy in these
countries and at the same time to deny any groups wanting to
peacefully contend for office.

Second, Islamists tend to be fairly well organized and popular. Yes,
some have created armed wings to their movements, ostensibly to resist
foreign occupation (Hezbollah in Lebanon, Islamic Jihad in Palestine)
or in response to authoritarian regimes. But in all cases, a moderate,
less-violent Islamist core exists. Excluding the religious parties
from the political mainstream risks giving the upper hand to the armed
factions at the expense of their more moderate centers.

Repression has had high costs. Where Islamist groups are denied access
to political space, their cause takes on an aura of mythical
martyrdom, and their abstract calls for a return to Islamic principles
of governance are not put to the test. A phrase like "the meek are the
inheritors of the earth" resonates with the masses, though it is empty
of any practical content. As long as these groups don't have to deal
with the complicated business of forging actual political policies,
their popularity remains untested. The challenge, therefore, is to
find a formula that includes them in the system, but that prevents a
"one man, one vote, one time" situation.

One fairly successful attempt at such a formula was coordinated by
King Hussein of Jordan, after widespread riots in 1989 over food
shortages in his traditional stronghold in the south. Needing to
engage the people more directly in the tough economic decisions that
had to be made, he opted for a new constitutional monarchy. He brought
all the political forces in the country together in a national
congress, in which the rules of the democratic game were enshrined in
a national charter. The Islamists signed on.









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