Egypt must tolerate open debate

  By Jonathan Steele
  The Hindu | July 30, 2005
  http://www.hindu.com/2005/07/30/stories/2005073004291100.htm

Political Islam must be given the air to breathe. Open debate can
tackle the dangers of fundamentalism.


SOMETHING EXTRAORDINARY happened in Cairo the other day. The Muslim
Brotherhood, which is an illegal organisation, joined Left-wing
activists for a demonstration against President Hosni Mubarak. About a
thousand protesters marched outside the Lawyers' Association's
building, shouting slogans for freedom and an end to torture.

The strange thing was not that demonstrators dared to take to the
streets. Over the last year anti-government protests have become
increasingly frequent. Some were met with police beatings and arrests,
but the more common pattern in recent weeks is a kind of cold peace.

The two protests I observed last week were typical. The demonstrators
do not seek official permission, but the police know anyway through
eavesdropping on mobile phones. Hours before the start hundreds of
black-uniformed riot police with batons converge on the venue, while
ordinary police go into blocks of flats and cafes to warn people not
to join in. When the protesters arrive they are corralled into a small
space by three lines of riot police to prevent them starting a march.
The authorities are terrified that a mass rally could develop.

Unusual combination

The unusual feature of the combined leftwing and Muslim Brotherhood
protest was that groups that could hardly be more different in their
ideologies felt it useful to come together — "The first time this has
happened since 1954 when Nasser clamped down on the Islamists and the
left," one excited participant whispered.

It would be wrong to pretend there was unity. The leftwingers got
upset when the Brotherhood, most of them students, brandished small
Qurans in their right hands, punching the air with the holy book. This
violated the organisers' agreement. But the protest was an important
sign of the increasing boldness of the Government's critics and their
search for common ground in pressing for reform.

Nominations opened on Friday for the first contested election for the
presidency since Mr. Mubarak took over in 1981. He controls state TV's
coverage of the campaign and his party enjoys huge powers of
patronage, so his rule is hardly threatened. The bombs in Sharm
el-Sheikh last weekend were a blow to Mr. Mubarak's international
prestige, and his officials assume they were more likely the work of
an extreme Egyptian group, perhaps working with the Bedouin of the
Sinai, rather than Al-Qaeda. But they may give him a temporary boost
in the public at large.

Egypt's Opposition forces are setting their sights on parliamentary
elections in November, in which they could do very well. They want an
end to the state of emergency, in force for two decades, and a
restoration of civil liberties. The Muslim Brotherhood, which
renounced violence a generation ago, desperately wants to be
legalised, even though its image of being victimised adds to its appeal.

In short, the country, which still claims to be the leader of the Arab
world, is going through unprecedented turbulence. Yet the West hardly
seems to have noticed. The United States and European governments put
their hope in a gradual reform of the Mubarak regime, if not thanks to
him, then to his ambitious son, Gamal. "They want reforms that are
more than cosmetic but less than profound," says Emad Eldin Shahin, a
leading analyst.

Islamists' role

The big issue in Egypt is what role the Islamists are really playing.
Mr. Mubarak's old arguments that stability is more important than
democracy, and only he stands in the way of fundamentalism, are
wearing thin. The economy cannot find jobs for millions of school —
and university-leavers, and pressures from the international financial
institutions to end subsidies on cheap food and fuel could lead to a
social explosion (as happened in Yemen last week). In this climate the
attractions of political Islam are growing.

It is not just the Muslim Brotherhood. Ultra-puritanical Salafis,
financed largely by Saudi Arabia, are the new force gaining ground on
Egypt's campuses, as well as in smaller towns and marginal communities
in Cairo. Although the government licenses all imams, the Salafis use
the fact that their message is ostensibly only about social values to
spread their radical views in the mosques.

The more moderate Muslim Brotherhood, whose leadership comes from the
urban middle class and owners of small businesses, has an ambiguous
line. Many of Egypt's secular intelligentsia feel it plays along with
the regime, and may in the end not support an Opposition candidate or
call for a boycott of the presidential election. Its primary aim of
being legalised makes it open to compromise, they say. Is the
Brotherhood an Egyptian version of Turkey's moderate Islamists, who
swept to power in 2002? Its economic policies — support for
privatisation and gradually opening Egypt to global free trade — are
part of the orthodoxy of modernisation.

"They've realised the importance of moving from being an Islamic
movement and becoming a civic movement of mainstream nationalism with
Islamic principles," says Mr. Shahin.

The political context differs from Turkey's, according to Kamal Abbas,
one of the new breed of independent trade-union leaders. "Turkey is a
secular state with a mature civil society that has evolved through
various stages," he says. "Egypt has never had democracy. For now the
Brotherhood stands for civil rights, but its basic stance is against
them. It has one language for the media and another for its followers."

And, on the flanks, the Salafis are gathering strength. But the answer
to both trends is to let political Islam have the air to breathe. Only
through legalisation, debate, openness and public competition can the
dangers of fundamentalism be properly met. Repression always backfires.








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