From Pity To Fear

  By RAMACHANDRA GUHA
  The Times of India | AUGUST 15, 2005 
  http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/articleshow/1200723.cms

How western perceptions of India have changed?

In November 1961, Aldous Huxley came to India for a conference in
memory of that other great novelist and polymath, Rabindranath Tagore.
Afterwards, he was profoundly pessimistic about the prospects for
democracy in this country. "India is almost infinitely depressing",
wrote Huxley to a friend, "for there seems to be no solution to its
problems in any way that any of us would regard as acceptable, the
prospect of overpopulation, unemployment, growing unrest, social
breakdown, followed by the imposition of a military or communistic
dictatorship".
Huxley was known for the ori-ginality of his views, but in this matter
at least he was depressingly representative. Before and after him, an
array of western writers visited India and concluded that its chances
of survival were bleak. Some said the forces of secession based on
language and ethnicity would make India 'balkanise'. Others agreed
with Huxley that the only means to contain this diversity was through
the force of arms and of the army. Still others claimed that India
would be the clinching proof of Thomas Malthus's theory: Here, if
nowhere else, population growth would outstrip the growth in food
production, leading to mass famine.
As a long-time student of our culture, Huxley wrote with concern.
Other prophets wrote with pity and contempt. In the 40s and 50s, these
doomsayers tended to be old Raj hands. The last commander-in-chief of
the British Army in India, Field Marshal Claude Auchinlek, believed
that 1947 marked only the first of many Partitions of India. He
thought that sooner rather than later, "India will split into several
states or countries as it was before the British intervention".
As the Republic of India moved into its second decade, the doomsayers
were more likely to be Americans. These focused on the food scarcities
then current, which seemed to show that India was beyond redemption.
The brothers Paddock, biologists both, wrote in 1967 that "India is
the first of the hungry nations to stand at the brink of famine and
disaster". By 1975, "civil disorder, anarchy, military dictatorships,
runaway inflation, transportation breakdowns and chaotic unrest will
be the order of the day..." At about the same time, Time magazine ran
a long story on 'India: A Huge Country on the Verge of Collapse'. This
spoke of the apparently insoluble conflicts of religion, language and
region, and of "a continuing population
explosion (which) impedes all progress". Time felt that "there will be
a general descent into chaotic conditions affecting the whole Indian
society".
The Green Revolution soon quietened the Malthusians. But then Indira
Gandhi's Emergency prompted a fresh round of obituaries. India,
mourned the Sydney Morning Herald in September 1976, has "relapsed
into traditional Asian autocracy"; this ending "the main hope of
democracy in Asia, indeed in the developing world". The Observer of
London thought that were the Emergency to end, "the most likely
successor to Congress remains the Army". India relapsed into
demo-cracy in 1977. At periodical intervals, however, those old dark
scenarios were dusted out for display. The assassination of Indira
Gandhi in 1984, and the destruction of the Babri masjid in 1992,
prompted fears that India would indeed (or at last) break up into many
parts, or come to be ruled by men in uniform.
In the last decade, however, there has been a striking change in the
conventional western wisdom about India. The likes of Time and
Newsweek once wrote stories of India's imminent descent into chaos.
They now write of India in altogether different ways, seeing in its
recent economic surge a challenge to American jobs and American
prosperity. True, in these accounts India is generally seen as a
junior partner to China. Still, it is noteworthy that it is not
Shanghai but my hometown, Bangalore, that has come to symbolise the
threat posed to the overpaid and lazy American by the ambitious and
energetic Asian.
Once, western predictions about India's descent into anarchy or army
rule prompted anger or embarrassment among educated Indians. These
newer predictions, however, have led to a rising tide of
self-congratulation. Our own answer to Time, India Today, carries
cover stories with titles like 'Housekeepers to the World' and 'Global
Champs'. And this morning's newspaper tells me that 'India is moving
fast to become global economic power No. 1'.
Those older anticipations of India's demise were greatly exaggerated.
For the Constitution forged by our founding fathers allowed cultural
heterogeneity to flourish within the ambit of a single (and
democratic) nation state. However, these celebrations of India's
imminent rise to
power are premature as well. Despite the manifest successes of the new
economy there remain large areas of poverty and deprivation. Only
purposive state intervention can correct these imbalances; and the
state as it exists now is too corroded and corrupted to act with much
purpose. It was mistaken, then, to see India as swiftly going down the
tube; and it is mistaken, now, to see it as soon taking its place
among the elect of the earth. India will merely muddle along in the
middle — as it has always done.

The writer is working on a history of independent India.








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