Timely Demise for Free Trade Area of the Americas

  By Laura Carlsen 
  Americas Program, International Relations Center | November 23, 2005
  http://americas.irc-online.org/am/2954        

        

The stage was set for a showdown. When the Bush cabinet announced
intentions to revive the moribund Free Trade Area of the Americas at
the Fourth Summit of the Americas in Mar del Plata, the countries of
the Southern Common Market closed ranks to prevent it. What followed
was a diplomatic melee that reflects not so much divisions within
Latin America, as a growing resistance to the current free trade model
throughout the developing world.

The November summit was officially billed as a forum to discuss
employment, and the issue of creation of a Free Trade Area of the
Americas was not even on the agenda. However, well before landing in
the Argentine beach town the Bush administration made clear its
intentions to leave with a specific commitment to restart negotiations.

The U.S. government was determined to come out of the meeting with a
revitalized FTAA because the administration feared that if the
negotiations were left to languish, momentum could be lost for the
initiative at a crucial time. The FTAA was first launched by George W.
Bush's father, but after ten years of inconclusive talks and
significant differences between the countries, the goal of a
hemisphere-wide NAFTA remained elusive.

Since the FTAA meeting in November of 2003, when the two co-chairs
United States and Brazil failed to agree on a basic model, substantive
talks have been suspended completely. Against the backdrop of the
upcoming December meeting of the World Trade Organization in Hong Kong
, where disagreements similar to those that have held back the FTAA
will be prominent, the United States wanted a formal statement of
common purpose from its own hemisphere.

The administration has also presented its pro-business trade strategy
as an essential pillar for democratization and freedom in developing
countries. Latin America has been moving to the center-left recently
and upcoming elections point to an even further shift left.
Venezuela's Hugo Chavez has become a lightning rod in the region for
criticism of the Bush government, which flared after the invasion of
Iraq. In this context, Washington hoped for a clear affirmation of
loyalties among nations of the Americas .

These hopes were dashed in Mar del Plata . Despite the efforts of
Mexico's President Vicente Fox to push through a commitment to FTAA
talks, the 34 nations represented in the Organization of American
States (OAS) failed to reach a consensus on renewed negotiations due
to the firm resistance of the four nations of the Mercosur and Venezuela .

Given the impasse, in a last-ditch diplomatic move worked out after
several presidents including Bush had already left the Summit,
paragraph 19 of the final declaration split into two positions.

Twenty nine countries stood behind the resolution that they would
"remain committed to the achievement of a balanced and comprehensive
FTAA Agreement that aims at expanding trade flows …" These nations
resolved to "instruct our officials responsible for trade negotiations
to resume their meetings, during 2006, to examine the difficulties in
the FTAA process, in order to overcome them and advance the
negotiations within the framework adopted in Miami in November 2003."

The second position, put forth by the four nations of Mercosur—Brazil,
Argentina, Paraguay, and Uruguay—plus Venezuela, states: "Other member
states maintain that the necessary conditions are not yet in place for
achieving a balanced and equitable free trade agreement with effective
access to markets free from subsidies and trade-distorting practices,
and that takes into account the needs and sensitivities of all
partners, as well as the differences in the levels of development and
size of the economies."
Mercosur's Position

The nations of the Mercosur took a stand against renewing FTAA talks
to declare their opposition to free trade agreements along the NAFTA
model that do not take into account the needs of developing countries
while locking in competitive advantages for developed nations. Since
the WTO meeting in Cancun in 2003 the focal point for Brazil has been
the question of agricultural subsidies. Brazil has called for
elimination of all agricultural export subsidies in the United States
and the European Union and a schedule for review and elimination of
trade-distorting domestic subsidies. The United States has made it
clear that it will not enter into a discussion of its agricultural
subsidies in the FTAA, so Mercosur refused to agree to further
negotiations.

Agricultural subsidies are not the only bone of contention. Other
issues have also impeded progress and caused Mercosur members to
question the long-term value of the FTAA. While the United States
demands almost unhampered access to Latin American countries' markets,
it maintains protectionist barriers in many of the same products
exported by their countries, including sugar and textiles.
Unrestricted U.S. imports could destroy poor country sectors currently
serving the domestic market. Intellectual property and the resulting
barriers to access to life-saving medicines, government purchases, and
investor guarantees are other areas that have been sticking points in
negotiations and that are extremely sensitive to developing nations.

Both Brazil and Argentina announced before the summit that they did
not want to discuss FTAA prior to the World Trade Organization
meetings in December. Brazil , in particular, prefers the WTO for
trade negotiations because there it can leverage the power it has
built up since leading the still-strong Group of 20 developing
countries at the WTO ministerial in Cancun in 2003. Alliances with
emerging economies of India, China, Africa, and Latin America gives
Brazilian trade negotiators a far broader base to confront the United
States and the European Union on subsidies. As it plans to stage its
battle at the WTO, Brazil did not want its hands tied by a commitment
to an FTAA.
Dead, Dying, or Reincarnated?

Many analysts on both the right and the left have insisted in the FTAA
post mortem that the patient is not dead.

At a time when the Bush administration is encountering serious
problems—from the illegal exposure of a CIA agent to mounting
opposition to the war—the last thing needed was to present Mar del
Plata as a defeat. Although Sec. of State Condoleezza Rice was visibly
upset at the refusal to commit to FTAA, the official U.S. press
statement on the summit stressed agreement on a number of specific
U.S. proposals and did not even mention the FTAA setback.

Despite Summit events, proponents cite the advance of bilateral free
trade agreements as evidence that U.S. free trade strategy is still
alive and kicking in Latin America . The model defined by NAFTA in
1992 continues to be the template for a growing number of free trade
agreements. Central American nations and the Dominican Republic have
entered into a free trade agreement (CAFTA-DR) and the Andean nations
are now in the fourteenth round of difficult negotiations. Chile
signed the U.S.-Chile FTA two years ago.

They also point out that in Mar del Plata 29 countries called for FTAA
talks in 2006, and only five cited a lack of adequate conditions for
negotiations. But the numbers argument is fallacious and masks hard
realities. Calling for renewed talks is a far cry from agreeing with
the FTAA model promoted by the United States and its free trade
partners. In fact, many of the countries who called for talks to begin
have had serious problems within there own bilateral negotiations due
to differing views and a perceived U.S. intransigency. Even Panama ,
whose government presented the text to continue negotiating the FTAA,
has been at an impasse in bilateral FTA talks with the United States
since January of 2005. The sticking point is agriculture again—the
demand of small Panamanian farmers to protect their internal markets
from import surges in basic staple crops. Although this point is
extremely important to the many smaller, largely rural-based economies
of the continent, the United States has shown little flexibility.

Caribbean countries have also expressed major differences with the
free trade model as expressed in the FTAA in other forums. The
Caribbean Community (Caricom) has been concentrating its efforts on
the World Trade Organization where it has received severe blows lately
in banana and sugar rulings. In response, many of its leaders have
formulated demands to take into account developing countries' needs
through exemptions and compensations that would go against the terms
of a NAFTA-style FTAA. Tens of thousands of protestors against CAFTA
and AFTA have filled the streets in Costa Rica and Ecuador, and if Evo
Morales wins the presidency in Bolivia's December elections, neither
FTAA nor AFTA will have a prayer in that country.

The defeat of prospects for a hemisphere-wide agreement deals a heavy
blow to Washington's commercial strategy in the region. Since its
inception in 1994, the FTAA has constituted the most ambitious forum
for imposing a very specific model of free trade, dictated by U.S.
interests and those of its transnational companies. Meanwhile, Latin
American countries have expanded integration with Europe , and China
has made major inroads into the region. What appeared a consensus
among nations ten years ago has now become a focal point for
deep-seated differences in perspectives on development and integration.

The death of the FTAA opens up room for the nations of the region to
explore alternatives to a model that has lost support both among
governments and civil society. Diversified trade, increased regional
agreements, democratization, and policies oriented toward national
development should be the guides along the new route.

(Laura Carlsen is based in Mexico City where she directs the Americas
Program of the International Relations Center, online at
americas.irc-online.org.)









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