A disastrous model

Praful Bidwai | Frontline | July 29- August 11, 2006

http://www.hinduonnet.com/fline/stories/20060811000908500.htm


Those advocating armed attacks on Pakistan in response to the Mumbai
bombings wish to emulate Israel's aggression. That is the worst model India
could follow.

A crass and hysterical nationalism is taking hold among a section of the
Indian middle class in response to the Mumbai blasts. This nationalism is
paranoid. It considers India uniquely vulnerable to terrorism because its
state is exceptionally soft, pusillanimous and "cowardly". At the same time,
it wants a militant response - armed attacks on Pakistan. Its votaries say
it is not enough just to suspend India-Pakistan talks; India must teach
Pakistan "a lesson". Some advocates of this view have strong sympathies for
Hindutva and harp on the "timidity of Hindus", a phrase the Rashtriya
Swayamsewak Sangh (RSS) fondly uses to explain why India has been repeatedly
subjugated by "aggressors". But even if the communal element is excised from
this view, its essential content remains unaltered. It advocates a
particular model unfolding before our eyes - namely, Israel's aggression in
Gaza and Lebanon, after the arrest of one-third of the Palestinian
Authority's Cabinet. India would be "effete", unlike Israel, if it fails to
respond to threats to its security with all-out punitive attacks.

This view was encouraged by the state's confused initial response to the
Mumbai blasts. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh's address to the nation did not
reflect the gravity of the destruction in Mumbai, which is of the same order
as Madrid 2004, the world's worst recent terrorist incident, next only to
9/11. In a recent English-language television programme in which I
participated, the anchor asked whether India should follow Israel's example.
While the participants argued against this on differing grounds, 94 per cent
of the audience agreed with the proposition through email and SMS responses.
In keeping with such extreme opinions, the government hardened its stand and
cancelled the Foreign Secretary-level meeting, issued belligerent
statements, rounded up hundreds of Muslims, and mindlessly banned access to
blogs on the Internet.

It is of vital importance that we view the Mumbai blasts in perspective and
formulate a rational response that defends the interests and security of the
Indian people. To start with, it is not at all clear that the attacks
exposed India's "exceptional" vulnerability. A similar attack could well
have occurred on suburban trains in Paris, New York, Moscow or London and
produced similar damage. True, the Mumbai suburban rail system is even more
crowded than the New York subway. But it is nearly impossible to prevent
such attacks altogether. Beyond a point, no state can anticipate such
events, screen passengers, check all unattended baggage, and so on. The very
pace of metropolitan life makes such checks impracticable.

India lags behind in quickness of response, in sounding warnings and
providing emergency services. We have failed to create the infrastructure
necessary to deal with mishaps such as train coaches falling on tracks,
which need to be quickly cleared, and so on. There is a strong case for
installing inexpensive closed-circuit television cameras at important
transport hubs. But this is not a watertight guarantee that terrorist
attacks will never occur. No state, however powerful, especially a
democratic one, can provide 100 per cent security or guarantee absence of
violence. It can take precautionary measures, be more vigilant, and improve
police efficiency and procedures. That is where India fails badly.

Secondly, the response of the Mumbai and railway police was tardy and
meagre. Citizens themselves had to rush victims to hospitals and arrange for
blood much before the state acted. There was public anger that the state was
not doing enough or being responsive. This grievance is legitimate.

However, a rational long-term response to terrorist violence can only be
based on systematic investigation to establish the identity of the culprits,
their motives, and their internal and external links. Only thus can a
responsible government conclude that the terrorists received encouragement
or help from abroad - in the present case, Pakistan. But senior officials,
including National Security Adviser M.K. Narayanan, rushed to judgment and
selectively briefed the media alleging that the Lashkar-e-Taiba, the
Students Islamic Movement of India and other organisations allegedly
supported by Pakistani clandestine agencies were involved. Most national
newspapers duly echoed such views based upon mere guesswork and speculation.


The assessment that Pakistan was behind the Mumbai attacks is open to doubt
on two grounds. In the past too, similar allegations were made. Yet, in no
major case have the culprits' identity or links with Pakistan been fully
established and convictions secured (an exception being the Parliament
building attack case, now under appeal). Accusations about their links with
"sleeper cells", or agencies operating through Pakistan, Bangladesh and
Nepal remain unsupported under Indian laws of evidence.

The second reason pertains to recent developments in Pakistan and in
India-Pakistan relations. General Musharraf is under tremendous pressure
from the U.S., other Western powers and China to demonstrate that he will
take on jehadi groups and comply with the anti-terrorist commitments he made
in 2004. It is hard to believe, at this point in the evolution of the
India-Pakistan dialogue, that it makes sense for Pakistani agencies to risk
wrecking the dialogue process by encouraging or instigating gross violence
such as the Mumbai bombings.

It is possible that some "rogue elements" of the Inter-Services Intelligence
could have done this. But the central issue is Manmohan Singh's assessment
that the sheer scale of the attack points to external involvement. Any
number of Indian groups with no live contact with foreign agencies is
capable of getting hold of explosives and planting them. Such groups learn
by watching others in different parts of the world. Enough hatreds and
injustices exist in Indian society, which can explain the kind of
ideological pathologies that encourage them to visit violence on innocent
civilians. It is a terrible, very sick, pathology. But such groups exist.

India has a huge amount to gain from the peace process with Pakistan. It
would be foolhardy to make it a hostage to speculation about Pakistani
involvement in terrorist violence. In any cultural, economic or social
interaction, India stands to gain more than Pakistan. Apart from launching
bus and train services, India has received an assurance from Musharraf that
the Kashmir issue would be discussed on condition that there can be no
redrawing of boundaries. The more we blame Pakistan, the more obsessively we
look for "the foreign hand", the farther we get from the task of looking
inwards, to examine what is wrong with our police, intelligence agencies and
criminal justice system so that we can address some of the cesspool of
grievances in which violence and extremist ideologies flourish.

The "hit-Pakistan-teach-Pakistan-a-lesson" clamour is a complete negation of
any reasonable, balanced, mature and sober approach to the Mumbai blasts -
just as was the 10-month-long military mobilisation after the Parliament
building attack, which achieved nothing. What gives the demand a dangerous
edge is the advocacy of Israel-style militaristic approaches. Its proponents
admire Israel for unleashing high levels of violence upon its adversaries
when threatened. But, to start with, Israel is not a state that respects
international law. It has the longest history in the world of violation of
Security Council resolutions, such as 242 and 338, as well as the World
Court judgment on the apartheid wall. India cannot and should not emulate
it. This will encourage terrible lawlessness and violence in our own
neighbourhood.

Secondly, what Israel is now doing is illegal, immoral and politically
disastrous. The roots of the current conflict go back to Israel's recent
liquidation of Abu Jamal Samhanada, newly appointed security-chief of the
Interior Ministry of the Palestinian Authority. This was calculated, as many
past Israeli actions, to provoke. It brought on retaliatory attacks from
pro-Hamas militants with crude home-made Qassam rockets which inflicted
minimal damage. In response, Israel launched devastating attacks on
civilians, including a picnicking family of eight. The ensuing violence
eventually led to the killing of two Israeli soldiers and the capture of
one.

Under international law, it is perfectly legitimate for people under
occupation to militarily target occupying military personnel, although not
to abduct them. But Israel has itself practised abduction and kidnappings
and made hostage-prisoner swaps, as in 1968, 1983, 1985 and 2004. In June,
it took one-third of the Palestinian Cabinet hostage. It escalated its
attack on Hamas with a view to destroying its entire military
infrastructure. Israeli troops cut off Gaza's water and power supply and
inflicted collective punishment on civilians who were in no way responsible
for the earlier attacks or abduction. Cutting off electricity means cutting
off refrigeration - and people's food supplies.

Israel has since invaded Lebanon, in response to a Hizbollah raid on its
forces. One need not justify Hizbollah's actions to note the sheer
disproportion of the violence Israel unleashed on civilians. More than 380
were killed in 10 days. The number of Israeli casualties is not even
one-tenth this number. Israel targeted civilian installations in Beirut and
devastated its infrastructure. Israel hopes to weaken decisively the
Hizbollah militarily and further the objective of establishing a Greater
Israel, which annexes large parts of the West Bank.

This objective can only be achieved if Israel destroys all regional
challenges and unilaterally draws - for the first time ever - its national
boundaries after dividing up Palestinian territory into a series of
Bantustans through the apartheid wall. To do this, it must claim that there
is no Palestinian agency with which it can negotiate. Israel's withdrawal
from Gaza even while continuing with the colonisation of the West Bank must
be seen in this perspective. To these ends, Israel has inflicted cruel forms
of collective punishment, as well as large-scale violence, upon
non-combatant civilians. Collective punishment is impermissible under
international law, as are sieges of cities, which starve them of food and
water - the state of Beirut today after 15 years of recovery and revival as
one of West Asia's liveliest cities. Israel's unconscionable military
offensive is an act of international brigandage linked to expansionism.
Those who want India to emulate Israel assign the most obnoxious motives and
purposes to our state. Obviously, they see nothing wrong with expansionism,
aggression, occupation, disproportionate force, hostage-taking and outright
assassination of suspects - actions that are punishable under international
law.

India is being asked to follow Israel's bellicose, lawless and brigand-like
conduct on the presumption that "shock-and-awe" methods, although excessive,
disproportionate and immoral, successfully deter future terrorist attacks.
However, this presumption has been repeatedly falsified. Israel's coercion
has failed to deter adversaries or generate security for Israeli citizens.
In fact, the moral force of the first Intifada derived from the
determination that Palestinian youth showed when fighting the mighty Israeli
military with nothing more than stones.

Israel is one of the world's most militarised societies: more than 576,000
of its 6.5 million people serve in its armed forces. The country probably
has the world's highest density of surveillance equipment such as X-ray
machines, closed-circuit cameras and explosive detectors. And yet,
suicide-bombers infiltrate populated high-security areas and kill. Such is
the deep sense of injustice, injury, insult and resentment that Israel's
excesses have created among its neighbours; that its own citizens cannot
remotely hope to become secure in the absence of a just settlement of the
Palestinian question.

It should be demeaning for India even to think of following a model based on
devotion to violence and cultivation of hatred and prejudice. It is a sign
of the moral and political degeneration of the Indian elite that it has
stooped to clamour for attacks on Pakistan, without even establishing its
complicity in the Mumbai carnage.

It is incumbent upon all those who value sanity, sobriety and principle in
public life to counter such crass and extreme militarist nationalism. Such
extremism is the stuff of fascism.

-- 
Gaurav Garg
133 Jor Bagh
New Delhi-110003
India


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